Rainshadow Posted April 11, 2017 Report Share Posted April 11, 2017 This is the plan: GFS - 30-day IT stability test scheduled to begin in May; Implementation scheduled for mid-June. SCN will be released in early May. I think this is the last pre-Sandy money GFS tweak, anyway ever so slight improvement past 30 days vs current version. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 11, 2017 Report Share Posted April 11, 2017 still worlds behind the euro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 12, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 12, 2017 12 hours ago, tombo82685 said: still worlds behind the euro But, sneaking past the GGEM! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 14, 2017 If this new GFS can eliminate some of the absurdly cold OP solutions that the current OP GFS has done this April (and last April too), I'm all for it. The current OP GFS had a run (and multiple runs with sub freezing mins in PHL proper) with a predicted 519 thickness for this weekend (4/15 & 4/16). Current (4/14) GFS MOS predicted high for Sunday 4/16 in PHL is 83. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 14, 2017 Just tripped across the 24hr and 48hr 850mb bias over the conus for current GFS for past march. Enough said, if its this cold after 48hrs..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 8, 2017 New GFS (yellow) looks like it should fix the perpetual 2m temp cold bias: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 On 5/8/2017 at 7:46 AM, Rainshadow said: New GFS (yellow) looks like it should fix the perpetual 2m temp cold bias: PHL mins were 43 & 45, new GFS routs present GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 18, 2017 Upgrade implementation mid to late June. One thing we know it will be better with... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 20, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 20, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 20, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 20, 2017 I don't think so: (Yes 0-1% sky cover and convective measurable showers) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 6, 2017 Author Report Share Posted June 6, 2017 Its not about the idea (after all tropical systems in the Gulf in June are not absurd), its about where does one go with the idea. BTW there are more out there now in la la land. See you later, don't linger on my account. Never liked this upgrade created as many bumps in the rugs in our area as it solved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted June 10, 2017 July 12th new implementation date. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted June 10, 2017 Dont know the 2m bias, but with the current GFS this would be four consecutive days in the 100s: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 20, 2017 Author Report Share Posted June 20, 2017 On 6/10/2017 at 8:57 AM, Rainshadow said: Dont know the 2m bias, but with the current GFS this would be four consecutive days in the 100s: Well, this thankfully didnt work, maybe two around 90 days at best. Speaking of not working, NHC will not be happy if (non la la land) solutions like this are more the norm than the exception: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 6/10/2017 at 8:57 AM, Rainshadow said: Dont know the 2m bias, but with the current GFS this would be four consecutive days in the 100s: Actual Highs: 90, 88, 87, 89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 7, 2017 Here is next week's version (mind you, 2pm temp, not the high of the day): Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 8, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 9, 2017 On 7/8/2017 at 8:15 AM, Rainshadow said: Today's version: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 10, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 10, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 10, 2017 Party like its 1992..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 10, 2017 I know the CAN GGEM map is 12 hours earlier; one is in trouble when the model that has called 45 out of the last 17 tropical systems doesnt have it.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted July 12, 2017 Report Share Posted July 12, 2017 Is weather model euthanasia prohibited by federal or state law? Someone ought to look into that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 13, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 13, 2017 On 7/12/2017 at 8:44 AM, snowlurker said: Is weather model euthanasia prohibited by federal or state law? Someone ought to look into that. Only 1 week left to enjoy the la la land cat 6s. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 14, 2017 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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