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Meteorological Spring Discussion, Is There A Below Normal Month Out There?


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13 minutes ago, snowlurker said:

Noticed that the CPC composite ensemble map centered on the 27th looks like cutter city, but not necessarily torchy. Maybe it's col/dry then warm/wet.

Yup, pretty much. Ridge position out west is offshore which would make for a storm track into the lakes. With the -epo though, you have to watch for big highs getting in the way of those lows which could cause some front end frozen stuff. But with no atlantic blocking there is nothing to keep the high from moving out. 

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21 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

Yup, pretty much. Ridge position out west is offshore which would make for a storm track into the lakes. With the -epo though, you have to watch for big highs getting in the way of those lows which could cause some front end frozen stuff. But with no atlantic blocking there is nothing to keep the high from moving out. 

Pretty much the story of this cold season has been -nao fail at longer forecast ranges.

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1 hour ago, Rainshadow said:

Today's (2/17) GEFS flatter with -epo ridge once March starts, looks like cutter city.

 

pretty much same on EPS. Once towards the end of the period it looks less cutterish but the flow isn't a col one at all.  Euro had a shot at 70 later next week.

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