Qtown Snow Posted January 6, 2017 Report Share Posted January 6, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 Latest hrrr gets LEHIGH county in on it. Yet again another NW push 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Latest hrrr gets LEHIGH county in on it. Yet again another NW push Be careful with those late in the range hrrr maps or them just in general. Not saying what it's showing is right or wrong, but it swings wildly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Be careful with those late in the range hrrr maps or them just in general. Not saying what it's showing is right or wrong, but it swings wildly. Also, be careful with those reflectivity maps, that shows virga too. For instance thats hour 18. Now look at the total qpf that falls during the timeframe. Unfortunately, you and I are just not in a good location for this storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 26 and cloudy. Tonight has that great a snowstorm is imminent look and smell Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowx Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 Always a favorite of mine the radar hallucinations.....no doubt we will have some very soon. The only time I remember the hallucinations becoming reality was the January 2000 storm that just kept coming North..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 19 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Be careful with those late in the range hrrr maps or them just in general. Not saying what it's showing is right or wrong, but it swings wildly. 14 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Also, be careful with those reflectivity maps, that shows virga too. For instance thats hour 18. Now look at the total qpf that falls during the timeframe. Unfortunately, you and I are just not in a good location for this storm. Tom- Is this typical as of late (last few years)? Where a coastal system, seemingly well off the coast, moves NW the last day or two giving hope to I95 N+W, only to come back to reality and settle back to a truly coastal system? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeerandWXTogether Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 I'd be somewhat surprised if anyone northwest of Route 202 gets more than 1"... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 46 minutes ago, eastonwx said: Tom- Is this typical as of late (last few years)? Where a coastal system, seemingly well off the coast, moves NW the last day or two giving hope to I95 N+W, only to come back to reality and settle back to a truly coastal system? Well I think i95 should see something here. But n and w it's up in the air and obviously far nw burbs on nw very much up in the air. But yea it happened a couple times last year where models moved nw inside 2 day then like the last 2 runs beforehand ticked east a little keeping most of the snow southeast of i95 and esp coastal 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: Well I think i95 should see something here. But n and w it's up in the air and obviously far nw burbs on nw very much up in the air. But yea it happened a couple times last year where models moved nw inside 2 day then like the last 2 runs beforehand ticked east a little keeping most of the snow southeast of i95 and esp coastal yea, not sure I like that trend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, eastonwx said: yea, not sure I like that trend not saying it's going to happen here, but it has happened before where models over correct on something then come back to the east a little. The boxing day blizzard was one that comes to mind. A day and a half before that storm most models showed this area getting hit pretty good. Then like the last 18hrs it slipped east a little and screwed western areas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, eastonwx said: yea, not sure I like that trend I was in the midst of a texting convo with Tom, the models are not verifying the Ok trof sharply enuf (the kicker in Canada is fine by the nam). Famous last words, I do not see an eastward tick coming with the 00z run. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 Not seeing any reason to back down HRRR and RAP are pretty vigorous with qpf. Echos on nw edge look decent. If RAP is right, over a foot at lewes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowx Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 29.4 in Sea Isle City and 21.9 here in East Nantmeal Cloudy skies in both locales at 9pm local Will be watching the SIC web cam closely tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted January 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 WAA now for i95 and bordering counties to the nw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted January 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted January 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 Save this one 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 Self-updating weenie radar filled with radar hallucinations for good luck: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted January 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 18 minutes ago, Qtown Snow said: Tom's favorite, all that convection pumping up the ridge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanDL Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, Qtown Snow said: Looks so beautiful 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiburon Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 25.1F/12.0F here in Gloucester County, NJ. Pressure still rising here, though the rate of rise is flattening over the last few hours. Almost no wind to speak of. It does have that "It gon snow" feel to it outside. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coltsfan1217 Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 Euro has 5 inches in Philly, 2-4 NW via wxbell 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeerandWXTogether Posted January 7, 2017 Report Share Posted January 7, 2017 Most of the models are generally 2-3 at 10:1. Yeah, ratios will tick that up a notch but virga will eat some of that up. I think 2-3 in the city is not unreasonable. I wouldn't go much higher than that in Philly and going lower is certainly not out of the question. And my less than 1" NW of 202 still stands. Wall so hard with the snow today... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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