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11/28 Weeklies Canada Becomes Ice Box Week 3


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CFS2,

 

Temps

Week 1....+5F

Week 2.....0F

Week 3.....-3F

Week 4....+2F

 

Pcpn

Week 1...wet

Week 2...normal

Weeks 3 & 4...dry

 

500mb, pretty stout -epo ridge/cross polar flow crushes Canada and into lower 48, retrogression of pattern by week 4 if right would be warmer than normal.

wk3.wk4_20161127.NAsfcT.gif

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, tombo82685 said:

That would be 3rd straight year of grinchmas. With tropical forcing though, it would look colder to me

I give 2nd half of week 2 as much credence as week 4 (not much).  They all collapse the mjo.  So you could have the best of both worlds, wave 1 nullifies warm phases of the mjo and then mjo gets to do its thing in colder phases.

 

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1 hour ago, Rainshadow said:

I give 2nd half of week 2 as much credence as week 4 (not much).  They all collapse the mjo.  So you could have the best of both worlds, wave 1 nullifies warm phases of the mjo and then mjo gets to do its thing in colder phases.

 

I give the cfs MJO forecast, which I believe is pulled off the gfs about as much love as 70 degree dews

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h5

week 1 -nao/+ao/+epo/-epo/ normal hgts, flow from tx

week 2 -epo/-ao/-nao/-pna/ below normal hgts, flow from Montana

week 3 -enao/-epo/-ao/neutral pna/normal hgts, flow from montana

week 4 -nao/neutral ao/+epo/+pna/ below normal hgts, flow from US/Canada border

week 5 -ao/neutral nao/-epo/+pna, normal hgts, flow from montana

week 6 +pna/-nao/-ao/-epo/normal hgts, flow from montana

 

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8 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

h5

week 1 -nao/+ao/+epo/-epo/ normal hgts, flow from tx

week 2 -epo/-ao/-nao/-pna/ below normal hgts, flow from Montana

week 3 -enao/-epo/-ao/neutral pna/normal hgts, flow from montana

week 4 -nao/neutral ao/+epo/+pna/ below normal hgts, flow from US/Canada border

week 5 -ao/neutral nao/-epo/+pna, normal hgts, flow from montana

week 6 +pna/-nao/-ao/-epo/normal hgts, flow from montana

 

:bye:

18779-2006-Keystone-RV-MONTANA-3500RL-Fifth-Wheel-11-560x371.jpg

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