Mitchg Posted November 21, 2016 Report Share Posted November 21, 2016 Actualish ( figures differ between weeklies and the 0-15 day EPS) Week 1 -2 Week 2 +2, SE ridge dominant, - NAO/AO, - PNA, EPO trending toward +, above normal precip due to cutters Guesses Week 3 +1 SE ridge hanging on, - NAO/AO, nuetral PNA and EPO, near normal precipitation Week 4 0 - NAO/AO, weak + PNA, neutral EPO, near normal precipitation Week 5 -1 - NAO/AO, + PNA, - EPO, slightly below normal precipitation Week 6 -1 Once again the guess kicks the can a little further down the road. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 21, 2016 Report Share Posted November 21, 2016 CFS2 weeklies Temps Week 1....-5F Week 2....0F Week 3....+3F Week 4....0F Pcpn Week 1....Dry Weeks 2 thru 4....Wet. The 500mb for week 4 looks good -epo / -nao. Just looking at where the mjo/gwo is heading, there is some support for it. Yeah if the mjo as a force dies vs progressing and if the gwo's spiral stops heading toward a nina state, it could fail. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 21, 2016 Report Share Posted November 21, 2016 Here are the parallel weeklies which will be upgraded tomorrow to the main weeklies h5 week 1 -nao/-ao/-pna-+epo/ below normal hgts week 2 +epo/-pna/-nao/neutral ao/ below normal hgts week 3 -epo/-nao/-ao/-pna/ below normal hgts week 4 +pna/-epo/-enao/-ao/ below normal hgts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 21, 2016 Report Share Posted November 21, 2016 temps week 1 -3 week 2 +2 week 3 0 week 4 -1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 21, 2016 Report Share Posted November 21, 2016 other weeklies h5 week 1 -pna/-ao/-nao/+epo/ below normal hgts week 2 -pna/neutral ao/-nao/+epo/ below normal hgts week 3 +pna/-epo/-ao/-nao/ below normal hgts week 4 -epo/-ao/-enao/+pna/below normal hgts week 5 -ao/-epo/-enao/+pna/ abv normal hgts due to more of a zonal look week 6 +epo/neutral pna/-enao/-ao/ abv normal hgts due to zonal flow They look fine to me. Don't really see any big torches or huge cold outbreaks. Probably see 2m temps in the +2 to -2 range outside of this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 22, 2016 Report Share Posted November 22, 2016 temps week 1 -4 week 2 +1 week 3 0 week 4 -1 week 5 0 week 6 0 precip week 1 slightly below week 2 abv normal week 3 slightly above normal week 4 sightly below week 5 normal week 6 normal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 22, 2016 Report Share Posted November 22, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 22, 2016 Report Share Posted November 22, 2016 The week 4 streak is now completely over. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted November 22, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 22, 2016 A 0 four weeks from now is doable unlike the next two weeks. I'd say a step backward from Thursday. Gotta get the PNA +. However, snowfall about the same or slightly higher inland, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 22, 2016 Report Share Posted November 22, 2016 5 minutes ago, Mitchg said: A 0 four weeks from now is doable unlike the next two weeks. I'd say a step backward from Thursday. Gotta get the PNA +. However, snowfall about the same or slightly higher inland, am I missing something here?? This looks about the same or even a little better in terms of temps. thursday's weeklies week 1 -2 week 2 +1 week 3 +2 week 4 -1 week 5 0 week 6 0 today's weeklies week 1 -4 week 2 +1 week 3 0 week 4 -1 week 5 0 week 6 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 22, 2016 Report Share Posted November 22, 2016 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: am I missing something here thursday's weeklies week 1 -2 week 2 +1 week 3 +2 week 4 -1 week 5 0 week 6 0 today's weeklies week 1 -4 week 2 +1 week 3 0 week 4 -1 week 5 0 week 6 0 Cfs2 week four? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted November 22, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 22, 2016 Just now, tombo82685 said: am I missing something here thursday's weeklies week 1 -2 week 2 +1 week 3 +2 week 4 -1 week 5 0 week 6 0 today's weeklies week 1 -4 week 2 +1 week 3 0 week 4 -1 week 5 0 week 6 0 A 0 four weeks from now is doable unlike the next two weeks. I'd say a step backward from Thursday. Gotta get the PNA +. However, snowfall about the same or slightly higher inland. I was looking more at 500 mb and the PNA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 22, 2016 Report Share Posted November 22, 2016 Just now, Mitchg said: A 0 four weeks from now is doable unlike the next two weeks. I'd say a step backward from Thursday. Gotta get the PNA +. However, snowfall about the same or slightly higher inland. I was looking more at 500 mb and the PNA. It's a split flow type of pattern from what I saw. You have a ridge in western Canada, but then a little bit of a trough in the southwest with the southern stream Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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