Rainshadow Posted November 14, 2016 Report Share Posted November 14, 2016 Well in the CFS2's world the former reigns supreme through at least week 3. Week 4 looks more conducive to colder air here, but we have been on this road as far as weeks four since late October. CFS2 Temps Week 1....+3F Week 2...+3F (one or two torchy days would have to undo what looks like a cold start to next week, in other words not likely) Week 3...+2F Week 4....+3F (looks like it should be lower) Pcpn Weeks 1 & 4 dry; weeks 2 & 3 wet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 14, 2016 Report Share Posted November 14, 2016 2 hours ago, Rainshadow said: Well in the CFS2's world the former reigns supreme through at least week 3. Week 4 looks more conducive to colder air here, but we have been on this road as far as weeks four since late October. CFS2 Temps Week 1....+3F Week 2...+3F (one or two torchy days would have to undo what looks like a cold start to next week, in other words not likely) Week 3...+2F Week 4....+3F (looks like it should be lower) Pcpn Weeks 1 & 4 dry; weeks 2 & 3 wet. Probably will have another weeklies of mainly + numbers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted November 14, 2016 Report Share Posted November 14, 2016 Weeklies best in quite a while! Much more pronounced + PNA with the general - AO/NAO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 14, 2016 Report Share Posted November 14, 2016 h5 week 1 -epo/neutral ao/+nao/neutral pna/ normal hgts, flow from Montana week 2 -nao/+epo/weak +pna/+ao/ below normal hgts, flow from US/Canada border week 3 ----nao/+++epo/neutral pna/neutral ao/ below normal hgts, flow from CA/OR border week 4 -epo/--nao/-ao/+pna/ below normal hgts, flow from O Canada, awesome looking pattern here week 5 -epo/+pna/-ao/+nao/below normal hgts, flow from O Canada, below normal hgts week 6 -enao/-epo/+pna/-ao/normal hgts, flow from US/Canada border best weeklies this season so far. Gotta be negative departures week 4-->6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 14, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2016 Just now, tombo82685 said: h5 week 1 -epo/neutral ao/+nao/neutral pna/ normal hgts, flow from Montana week 2 -nao/+epo/weak +pna/+ao/ below normal hgts, flow from US/Canada border week 3 ----nao/+++epo/neutral pna/neutral ao/ below normal hgts, flow from CA/OR border week 4 -epo/--nao/-ao/+pna/ below normal hgts, flow from O Canada, awesome looking pattern here week 5 -epo/+pna/-ao/+nao/below normal hgts, flow from O Canada, below normal hgts week 6 -enao/-epo/+pna/-ao/normal hgts, flow from US/Canada border best weeklies this season so far. Gotta be negative departures week 4-->6 Week 4 negative???? Next thing you are going to tell me is that the Cubs won the World Series. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 14, 2016 Report Share Posted November 14, 2016 1 minute ago, Rainshadow said: Week 4 negative???? Next thing you are going to tell me is that the Cubs won the World Series. Just going off the 850 anoms that I have right now. Early guess would be, week 1 +, week 2 -, week 3 +, week 4--->6 - Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted November 15, 2016 Report Share Posted November 15, 2016 Thanks for the breakdown Tombo. That week three pattern would be pretty cool to see play out. Not a great winter pattern for us, but to see the Pacific and Atlantic battle it out would be interesting. Guessing the former would win. Looking at the weeklies day by day, nice blocking on the Atlantic side more than not . We'd be in the game whenever the Pacific wants to corporate for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 15, 2016 Report Share Posted November 15, 2016 temps week 1 +2 week 2 -2 week 3 +1 week 4 +1 (lol) week 5 -1 week 6 0 precip normal every week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted November 15, 2016 Report Share Posted November 15, 2016 Snowfall another tick upward this run "12" at MPO, 6 for ABE and 4-5 for PHL 2 all the way to the coast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted November 15, 2016 Report Share Posted November 15, 2016 Like the control storm days 44-46, nice snow where I will be and all rain in NJ lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted November 15, 2016 Report Share Posted November 15, 2016 3 hours ago, tombo82685 said: week 4 -epo/--nao/-ao/+pna/ below normal hgts, flow from O Canada, awesome looking pattern here It figures. By my reckoning, week 4 would include our favorite winter weather date in December. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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