tombo82685 Posted November 3, 2016 Report Share Posted November 3, 2016 Pretty much expecting weeks 1-2 to have + values and probably 3 too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 3, 2016 Report Share Posted November 3, 2016 1 hour ago, tombo82685 said: Pretty much expecting weeks 1-2 to have + values and probably 3 too The cfs2 12z run looks like near normal weeks 3 & 4. We can't have a negative on week 4 on the euro. If that were to happen the Cubs would finally win the World Series. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 3, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 3, 2016 despite some below normal hgt periods on the eps parallel weeklies, every week is abv normal outside week 5 which is 0. Not going to break them down really since they aren't replacing the weeklies yet until nov 22nd. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 4, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2016 h5 week 1 +epo/+ao/+nao/+pna/abv normal hgts, zonal flow week 2 +nao/+pna/-epo/-ao/below normal hgts, flow from northern Washington week 3 neutral pna/-epo/-ao/+nao/ normal hgts/ ridge offshore, mean trough over miss river week 4 +pna/-enao/-ao/neutral epo/ normal hgts, split flow, flow from Washington week 5 +epo/-enao/-ao/+pna/ split flow, abv normal hgts, pretty zonal flow, definitely alot of PAC influence with goa low close by to AK week 6 neutral epo/-enao/+pna/-ao/normal hgts, little bit of split flow, still pretty zonal looking flow. all in all, don't expect any negatives this run for temps, maybe a 0. Week 6 definitely looks the best in my eyes with a pretty legit nao signature and a little se ridge with a big blob of below normal hgts east of new foundland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 4, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2016 temps week 1 +3 week 2 +2 week 3 +2 week 4 +1 week 5 +1 week 6 +1 temps week 1 below normal normal the rest of the weeks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 4, 2016 Report Share Posted November 4, 2016 Week 4 still positive! 0 for 2016. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 4, 2016 Report Share Posted November 4, 2016 Canadian Weeklies More optimistic... Temps Week 1 above, weeks 2 thru 4 near normal. Pcpn Weeks 1 & 2 dry, week 3 wet, week 4 near normal... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted November 6, 2016 Report Share Posted November 6, 2016 lol at the normal precip outlooks, when's the last time that's verified? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 14, 2016 Report Share Posted November 14, 2016 On 11/6/2016 at 7:14 AM, iceman56 said: lol at the normal precip outlooks, when's the last time that's verified? Models get wetter with forecast time, kind of makes the whole process difficult to get right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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