8/25 weeklies------return of the WAR

[tombo82685]

 

[tombo82685]

h5

week 1 -nao/---epo/-ao/-pna/ abv normal hgts, WAR

week 2 +epo/+ao/+nao/-pna/ abv normal hgts, WAR++++

week 3 +epo/+ao/+nao/ neutral pna/ abv normal hgts, WAR

week 4 neutral pna/+ao/+epo/+nao/ abv normal hgts, zonal flow

week 5 +pna/+epo/+ao/+nao/ slightly abv normal hgts, zonal flow

week 6 +ao/+nao/+epo/neutral pna/ slightly abv normal hgts, zonal flow

temps

week 1 +4

week 2 +5

week 3 +4

week 4 +2

week 5 +3

week 6 +2

 

precip

week 1 normal to slightly below .8

week 2 normal to slightly below .4

week 3 normal .5

week 4 normal to slightly above .7

week 5  normal to slightly above .6

week 6 normal .4

[Rainshadow]

27 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

h5

week 1 -nao/---epo/-ao/-pna/ abv normal hgts, WAR

week 2 +epo/+ao/+nao/-pna/ abv normal hgts, WAR++++

week 3 +epo/+ao/+nao/ neutral pna/ abv normal hgts, WAR

week 4 neutral pna/+ao/+epo/+nao/ abv normal hgts, zonal flow

week 5 +pna/+epo/+ao/+nao/ slightly abv normal hgts, zonal flow

week 6 +ao/+nao/+epo/neutral pna/ slightly abv normal hgts, zonal flow

temps

week 1 +4

week 2 +5

week 3 +4

week 4 +2

week 5 +3

week 6 +2

 

precip

week 1 normal to slightly below .8

week 2 normal to slightly below .4

week 3 normal .5

week 4 normal to slightly above .7

week 5  normal to slightly above .6

week 6 normal .4

We'd never have a +4 with those week 1 teleconnections in winter.

[tombo82685]

Just now, Rainshadow said:

We'd never have a +4 with those week 1 teleconnections in winter.

short wavelengths ftl... though I guess you could argue if the -pna was really strong it would be a battle. 

[Rainshadow]

4 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

short wavelengths ftl... though I guess you could argue if the -pna was really strong it would be a battle. 

I think you hurt WAR's feelings...

 

[Rainshadow]

Canadian Weeklies not much better.

Weeks 1 thru 3 above, confidentally at that.  Week 4 near normal temps.

Near normal pcpn all four weeks, not with those temps unless something tropical, remnant tropical comes by.

 

[colonel_kurtz]

Time to dust off the Beach Boys album again this year

[Rainshadow]

Classic!

 

[tombo82685]

I'm sure people are wondering this, but WAR stands for western atlantic ridge

[JamieO]

14 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

short wavelengths ftl... though I guess you could argue if the -pna was really strong it would be a battle. 

Seems to me like that would encourage ice storms, especially back here in the PA Apps. 

[Parsley]

When was the last time we had a "cool" September? I'm not talking about a weak -1.2 departure either like in 2013. 

[colonel_kurtz]

27 minutes ago, Parsley said:

When was the last time we had a "cool" September? I'm not talking about a weak -1.2 departure either like in 2013. 

Current SEPT AVE is 69.1

2013 (-1.2)

2009 (-1.1)

2006 (-2.0)

2001 (-0.7)

2000 (-2.7)

The other 11 years back to 2000 all averaged at least 70 degrees

[Parsley]

3 minutes ago, colonel_kurtz said:

Current SEPT AVE is 69.1

2013 (-1.2)

2009 (-1.1)

2006 (-2.0)

2001 (-0.7)

2000 (-2.7)

The other 11 years back to 2000 all averaged at least 70 degrees

Thanks. Not too impressive. 

[tombo82685]

I wish we could just have every year as 2009. Big winter that year, cool summer and fall...

[colonel_kurtz]

25 minutes ago, Parsley said:

Thanks. Not too impressive. 

Back to 1984 for a top 10 cool SEPT - 64.7

I believe at the 19th hole last SAT we did bring up the summer of 2000, if every summer were like that.....if you take the average of JUL / AUG / SEPT that 2000 period is the tied for the 10 coolest on record at Philadelphia. Pretty impressive to get that level of cool during the flamethrower era.

[Rainshadow]

2 hours ago, colonel_kurtz said:

Back to 1984 for a top 10 cool SEPT - 64.7

I believe at the 19th hole last SAT we did bring up the summer of 2000, if every summer were like that.....if you take the average of JUL / AUG / SEPT that 2000 period is the tied for the 10 coolest on record at Philadelphia. Pretty impressive to get that level of cool during the flamethrower era.

After moving Nooch back into Rowan this afternoon, I am nearly at the point at scoring double digits on every golf hole if that becomes the butterfly flapping its wings to get that pattern into motion.