7/21 heatlies

[tombo82685]

h5

 

week 1 -NAO/-AO/+EPO/+PNA

week 2 neutral nao&epo/+ao/+pna/ abv normal hgts, zonalish flow

week 3 neutral epo/-enao/+ao/+pna/ below normal hgts 40n lat on north, normal south of there. 

week 4 +epo/+ao/-enao/+pna/ below normal hgts m/d line north, south of there normal hgts

week 5 +ao/-wnao/+epo/+pna/ normal hgts, flow flattens out a little

week 6 +epo/+ao/-enao/neutral pna/ abv normal hgts, zonal flow

 

temps

 

week 1 +6 

week 2 +4

week 3 +2

week 4 +3

week 5 +3

week 6 +4

 

precip

 

week 1 1-1.2

week 2 1

week 3 1-1.2

week 4 .9-1

week 5 .9-1

week 6 .6-.7

[Rainshadow]

Canadian Weeklies

 

Temps

Week 1...near 100% chance of above normal (good call  )

Week 2...above normal

Week 3...above normal PHL east

Week 4...near normal!!!!

 

Pcpn

Week 1....above

Week 2....near normal

Week 3....below

Week 4....normal

[iceman56]

Will we ever see a negative departure again on weeklies?

 

Will 1" per week precip outlooks ever verify?   1" per month would be closer to reality for me.

[Rainshadow]

Will we ever see a negative departure again on weeklies?

 

Will 1" per week precip outlooks ever verify?   1" per month would be closer to reality for me.

 

There has not been a negative week 4 outlook all year by the Euro.  Euro might as well put out climo for pcpn.  At least the Canadians throw out a dry week every once in a while.