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The First Full Day Of Summer Thunderstorm Obs/Discussions


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This isn't a bad sounding for severe prospects for later on. Decent mid level lapse rates later on today. Main threat would be damaging winds. Best shot would be tpk south. Could see storms fire up towards i78, but I think severe potential is greatest south of tpk. 



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And a watch is likely (albeit mainly for south of the Mason-Dixon Line).


Looks like first front/wind shift is southeast of I295/95 corridor already. Could make a case for a second boundary that is moving through the nw burbs. I think we are done locally here unless something manages to go within the next hour and my sky at home doesnt have that thunderstorm look. Yes Delmarva (maybe extreme se nj) a different story, the pot is boiling there.

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BAltimore cell is pretty beast. Was gonna be close for turnpike south, esp in SEPA. Oo well.

Time to look at Thursday's bust potential!!

lol thursday is just turning into a nice stratiform rain event for most of the region. 

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