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6/20 Weeklies, Rather Vanilla CFS2


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CFS2:

 

Temps

Week 1.....0F...doubt its this low

Week 2.....0F...doesnt look encouraging

Week 3....+2F

Week 4....+2F

 

Pcpn

Week 1....below

Week 2....above
Weeks 3 & 4....near normal

 

General Pattern...

Brutal SW Conus ridge kind of just goes away with no definitive ridges and trofs going

forward.  Strongest feature weeks 3 & 4:  a wrn Alaskan ridge (maybe too west for a -epo)

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h5

week 1 +pna/+epo/+nao/+ao/slightly abv normal hgts, mean ridge over plains, mean trof over east

week 2 +pna/+epo/+nao/+ao/ slightly abv normal hgts, mean ridge over rockies, man trof over Apps, decent WAR signal

week 3 +pna/+epo/+ao/+nao/slightly abv normal hgts, mean ridge over Rockies, mean trof over east coast

week 4 neutral epo/+pna/+ao/+nao/slightly abv normal hgts, mean ridge in Rockies, mean trof along east coast

week 5 neutral epo/+pna/slightly -ao/+nao/ slightly abv normal hgts, mean ridge in Rockies, mean trof in east, probably a little warmer than week 4 more zonal flow

week 6 pretty much same as week 5

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