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The 6/13 Weeklies, The Honeymoon Is Over


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Katie can only bar the door for so long, its on its way...

 

CFS2....

 

Temps

Week 1....-2F

Week 2...+3F

Week 3...+3F

Week 4...+2F

 

Pcpn

Week 1...normal

Week 2...dry

Weeks 3 & 4...wet

 

Pattern is logical?

Weakening -epo through week 3, northern +pna week 4; overall after this

week it should be warmer than normal based on the 500mb anomalies

 

Canadian Weeklies (Issued Thursday, but start today)

 

Every week above normal temps

Week 1 above normal pcpn, rest near normal.

 

I have now included a running yearly average error for the cfs and ec on the

spread sheets, so you can see who is winning the weekly outlooks.

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Katie can only bar the door for so long, its on its way...

 

CFS2....

 

Temps

Week 1....-2F

Week 2...+3F

Week 3...+3F

Week 4...+2F

 

Pcpn

Week 1...normal

Week 2...dry

Weeks 3 & 4...wet

 

Pattern is logical?

Weakening -epo through week 3, northern +pna week 4; overall after this

week it should be warmer than normal based on the 500mb anomalies

 

Canadian Weeklies (Issued Thursday, but start today)

 

Every week above normal temps

Week 1 above normal pcpn, rest near normal.

 

I have now included a running yearly average error for the cfs and ec on the

spread sheets, so you can see who is winning the weekly outlooks.

 

I'll take hot and wet.  Its hot and dry that I don't want.

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h5

 

week 1 -epo/-ao/+nao/neutral pna/below normal hgts

week 2 +epo/+nao/+ao/neutral pna/abv normal hgts, a little bit of a trof in the east, but its a zonal steamy flow dominated by big ridge in sw

week 3 +epo/+nao/+ao/neutral pna/abv normal hgts, a little bit of a trof in the east, but its a zonal steamy flow dominated by big ridge in plains

week 4 +pna/-epo/+ao/+nao/slightly above normal hgts, big ridge over rockies, decent trof in the east.

 

week 5 and 6 is a carbon copy of week 4

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