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Worst May Ever 5/19 Weeklies


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h5

 

week 1 -ao/+nao/-pna/-epo/ slightly above normal hgts, rex block over east. low under banana high over se Canada and northern new england

week 2 -ao/+nao/neutral pna/-epo/slightly abv normal hgts mean ridge in plains, backdoor front look in east

week 3 +pna/neutral a0/+nao/-epo/ slightly abv normal hgts/pretty zonal low but hints of ridge in plains and trof just off shore in east

week 4 neutral ao and nao/+epo/-pna/ slightly abv normal hgts/ridge in plains and trof just off shore in east

 

definitely don't see any torch signal yet on weeklies out to mid to late june

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h5

week 5 slightly +pna/+ao/+nao/+epo/ slightly abv normal temps, main ridge is centered over madison,wi, trof just off east coast

week 6 +pna/+epo/+ao/+nao/ slightly abv normal hgts/ main ridge back over the east slopes of rockies, trof centered in east

 

 temps

week 5 +4

week 6 +4

 

46 day temp anom +3

 

precip

week 5 1-1.2

week 6 1

 

46 day total 6-6.5"

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h5

week 5 slightly +pna/+ao/+nao/+epo/ slightly abv normal temps, main ridge is centered over madison,wi, trof just off east coast

week 6 +pna/+epo/+ao/+nao/ slightly abv normal hgts/ main ridge back over the east slopes of rockies, trof centered in east

 

 temps

week 5 +4

week 6 +4

 

46 day temp anom +3

 

precip

week 5 1-1.2

week 6 1

 

46 day total 6-6.5"

:axehead:  :what:  :smiley_emoticons_hot: we're talking July by week 6  :what: .  With the trough centered in the east though +4? Haven't looked at wxbell weeklies yet. 

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:axehead:  :what:  :smiley_emoticons_hot: we're talking July by week 6  :what: .  With the trough centered in the east though +4? Haven't looked at wxbell weeklies yet. 

I  mean it's not a cold flow, its all abv normal the hgts, but there is a trof in the means over the east with greatest ridge potential out west. 

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I  mean it's not a cold flow, its all abv normal the hgts, but there is a trof in the means over the east with greatest ridge potential out west. 

 

It does seem that since the upgrade the default beyond week 1 number has been around +4F. 

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They don't look that bad actually. Ensemble spread look like a few members go into the 90's just before the 4th, otherwise looks like mainly 80's. Death ridge in southern plains that retrogrades westward actually. Whole nation shows up warmer than normal with the highest +'s in the west. I would think at least week 6 would be cooler than +4. Though at a lot of rainfall in southeast, likely humid as well. 

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