Rainshadow6.6 10,348 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 The models continue to have the closing low and with it closing south of us, sets us up even more for being in the (oh joy) favorable quadrant for heavier rain. I hear the ducks clapping.... This is the 60hr 17/06z GFS qpf thru Monday morning. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Parsley 5,922 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 Not the thread I want to wake up to this morning. Looks like an end of the week mowing is in order. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Feb 701 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 Worst may i can ever remember. Yuk Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,348 Posted May 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 Worst may i can ever remember. Yuk Our third consecutive month of April. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,348 Posted May 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 Not the thread I want to wake up to this morning. Looks like an end of the week mowing is in order. Hopefully one day is salvagable. Hopefully too we are getting the bad weekends out of the way. Thanks for not banishing the messenger to Baffin Island. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Parsley 5,922 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 Hopefully one day is salvagable. Hopefully too we are getting the bad weekends out of the way. Thanks for not banishing the messenger to Baffin Island. Yeah, maybe Saturday is salvageable (GFS says no sir). Or, a road trip to New England to avoid misery is possible. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,166 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 could be a shore nightmare. Looks like pretty strong HP to the north then low to the south, prolonged easterly fetch Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,166 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 euro and eps are about 1-2" At least Sunday looks nice. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,348 Posted May 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 The GFS still soaks sern areas especially Saturday with a secondary cyclogenesis wetting us on Monday night and Tuesday (alas no 84 hours of non stop rain any longer), the UKMET looks like a progressive wide right, while the CAN GGEM has the ultimate rex block and its still here next Thursday. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,166 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 euro is just a graze, south of philly gets hit good and esp Virgina. Though, it swings another low on tuesday affecting the region. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,348 Posted May 17, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 euro is just a graze, south of philly gets hit good and esp Virgina. Though, it swings another low on tuesday affecting the region. Make this January and the reaction to the change from the 00z run would be......... The LPGA is in Kingsmill, Virginia this weekend; regardless to our extent here, there will be new water hazards down there. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,166 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 Make this January and the reaction to the change from the 00z run would be......... The LPGA is in Kingsmill, Virginia this weekend; regardless to our extent here, there will be new water hazards down there. there was a lot of accumulated water that run of the euro not very far away from the region...going to be interesting to see how this goes next couple of days Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,166 Posted May 17, 2016 Report Share Posted May 17, 2016 pretty big spred in EPS from gully washers to miss offshore. EPS mean for phl is 1-1.5. They also did show that potential Tuesday coastal too the op run had. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,166 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 eps and euro in line with 1-1.5 of rain saturday into saturday night. Some showers on Sunday as well. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,348 Posted May 18, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 eps and euro in line with 1-1.5 of rain saturday into saturday night. Some showers on Sunday as well.GFS about half of that at PHL; but it makes up for it by forecasting measurable pcpn for 69 hours during a 96 hour stretch starting early Saturday. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,348 Posted May 18, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 Ukmet and Euro remain more progressive beyond the system while the GFS and Can GGEM keep it as the party guest you hoped would not show up and now is not leaving. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Parsley 5,922 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 Not good but the way the past 3 weeks have gone, not surprising. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Parsley 5,922 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 What do temps looks like during the day on Sunday on the Euro? Do they rebound on Sunday with just showery precip. around? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
irishbri74 3,864 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 What do temps looks like during the day on Sunday on the Euro? Do they rebound on Sunday with just showery precip. around? We get up to 68-71 region wide @18z. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Parsley 5,922 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 We get up to 68-71 region wide @18z. Ok. Thanks. Basically pulled the plug on (out of town) outdoor weekend plans with the family. Eventually things will improve in the weeks ahead. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
irishbri74 3,864 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 Ok. Thanks. Basically pulled the plug on (out of town) outdoor weekend plans with the family. Eventually things will improve in the weeks ahead. I don't blame you. I'll be heading down to Myrtle Beach Saturday. See ya suckers 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Parsley 5,922 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 I don't blame you. I'll be heading down to Myrtle Beach Saturday. See ya suckers I can handle inclimate weather...my wife and kids, not so much. I was down in Myrtle Beach in early March when it was nicer up here than it is now. I'm guessing you'll be spending plenty of time somewhere like this? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,166 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 What do temps looks like during the day on Sunday on the Euro? Do they rebound on Sunday with just showery precip. around? Sunday looks good on both models with sunshine and temps hitting 70ish Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,348 Posted May 18, 2016 Author Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 The models continue to have the closing low and with it closing south of us, sets us up even more for being in the (oh joy) favorable quadrant for heavier rain. I hear the ducks clapping.... Untitled.jpgggggggggg.jpg This is the 60hr 17/06z GFS qpf thru Monday morning. This is "better" than it was 24 hours ago. The only state/province without measurable pcpn is Arizona. (same time period). Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,166 Posted May 18, 2016 Report Share Posted May 18, 2016 This is "better" than it was 24 hours ago. The only state/province without measurable pcpn is Arizona. (same time period). gfs_namer_126_precip_p60.gif this is almost a close setup to the blizzard in january lol. HP over the top and low track almost very close to it. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.