4/18 Weeklies, Negatives Come Around Here Some More

[Rainshadow]

CFS2

 

Week 1.....+3F

Week 2.....0F

Week 3.....-1F

Week 4.....+1F

 

-nao flow gets replaced with a blocky, rexy flow over Noam in weeks 3 & 4.

 

Precip weeks 1 and 2 very dry, week 3 wet, week 4 normal.

 

And after seeing Tom Petty's "Don't Come Around Here No More" video,

I lost my taste for tea and cake. 

 

 

 

 

 

[tombo82685]

CFS2

 

Week 1.....+3F

Week 2.....0F

Week 3.....-1F

Week 4.....+1F

 

-nao flow gets replaced with a blocky, rexy flow over Noam in weeks 3 & 4.

 

Precip weeks 1 and 2 very dry, week 3 wet, week 4 normal.

 

And after seeing Tom Petty's "Don't Come Around Here No More" video,

I lost my taste for tea and cake. 

lets keep the warmth at bay

[Rainshadow]

lets keep the warmth at bay

 

Let's keep the central conus wet, will keep the heat ridge from forming easier.

[tombo82685]

Let's keep the central conus wet, will keep the heat ridge from forming easier.

this is true, they were getting dry before this cut off low ended that

[tombo82685]

Let's keep the central conus wet, will keep the heat ridge from forming easier.

[tombo82685]

h5

 

week 1 neutral nao/-ao/+pna/-epo/abv normal hgts

week 2 -pna/---nao/-ao/neutral epo/normal hgts

week 3 +nao/+ao/+pna/neutral epo/slightly abv normal hgts, alot of pacific flow

week 4  +nao/+ao/-pna/neutral epo/slightly abv normal hgts, has another closed low just off to the northeast

 

solely looking at 850 anomalies, only +week is week 1

[Rainshadow]

h5

 

week 1 neutral nao/-ao/+pna/-epo/abv normal hgts

week 2 -pna/---nao/-ao/neutral epo/normal hgts

week 3 +nao/+ao/+pna/neutral epo/slightly abv normal hgts, alot of pacific flow

week 4  +nao/+ao/-pna/neutral epo/slightly abv normal hgts, has another closed low just off to the northeast

 

solely looking at 850 anomalies, only +week is week 1

Based on teleconnections I would think week 2 would be the only cold week. Then again just talking about patterns, because week 2 at one time was the most confidently warm week.

[tombo82685]

temps

week 1 +5

week 2 -1

week 3 +3

week 4 +4

 

precip

week 1 .3-.4

week 2 .7-.8

week 3 1"

week 4 .7

[tombo82685]

Based on teleconnections I would think week 2 would be the only cold week. Then again just talking about patterns, because week 2 at one time was the most confidently warm week.

you would be correct

[Mitchg]

Let's keep the central conus wet, will keep the heat ridge from forming easier.

I think we see two smaller ridges form this summer one in the west and another one near the east coast/Bermuda.  . 

[Rainshadow]

I think we see two smaller ridges form this summer one in the west and another one near the east coast/Bermuda.  .

I will take small victories.

[tombo82685]

here was week 2 look