Rainshadow Posted April 18, 2016 Report Share Posted April 18, 2016 CFS2 Week 1.....+3F Week 2.....0F Week 3.....-1F Week 4.....+1F -nao flow gets replaced with a blocky, rexy flow over Noam in weeks 3 & 4. Precip weeks 1 and 2 very dry, week 3 wet, week 4 normal. And after seeing Tom Petty's "Don't Come Around Here No More" video, I lost my taste for tea and cake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 18, 2016 Report Share Posted April 18, 2016 CFS2 Week 1.....+3F Week 2.....0F Week 3.....-1F Week 4.....+1F -nao flow gets replaced with a blocky, rexy flow over Noam in weeks 3 & 4. Precip weeks 1 and 2 very dry, week 3 wet, week 4 normal. And after seeing Tom Petty's "Don't Come Around Here No More" video, I lost my taste for tea and cake. lets keep the warmth at bay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 18, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 18, 2016 lets keep the warmth at bay Let's keep the central conus wet, will keep the heat ridge from forming easier. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 18, 2016 Report Share Posted April 18, 2016 Let's keep the central conus wet, will keep the heat ridge from forming easier. this is true, they were getting dry before this cut off low ended that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 18, 2016 Report Share Posted April 18, 2016 Let's keep the central conus wet, will keep the heat ridge from forming easier. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 18, 2016 Report Share Posted April 18, 2016 h5 week 1 neutral nao/-ao/+pna/-epo/abv normal hgts week 2 -pna/---nao/-ao/neutral epo/normal hgts week 3 +nao/+ao/+pna/neutral epo/slightly abv normal hgts, alot of pacific flow week 4 +nao/+ao/-pna/neutral epo/slightly abv normal hgts, has another closed low just off to the northeast solely looking at 850 anomalies, only +week is week 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 18, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 18, 2016 h5 week 1 neutral nao/-ao/+pna/-epo/abv normal hgts week 2 -pna/---nao/-ao/neutral epo/normal hgts week 3 +nao/+ao/+pna/neutral epo/slightly abv normal hgts, alot of pacific flow week 4 +nao/+ao/-pna/neutral epo/slightly abv normal hgts, has another closed low just off to the northeast solely looking at 850 anomalies, only +week is week 1 Based on teleconnections I would think week 2 would be the only cold week. Then again just talking about patterns, because week 2 at one time was the most confidently warm week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 19, 2016 Report Share Posted April 19, 2016 temps week 1 +5 week 2 -1 week 3 +3 week 4 +4 precip week 1 .3-.4 week 2 .7-.8 week 3 1" week 4 .7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 19, 2016 Report Share Posted April 19, 2016 Based on teleconnections I would think week 2 would be the only cold week. Then again just talking about patterns, because week 2 at one time was the most confidently warm week. you would be correct Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted April 19, 2016 Report Share Posted April 19, 2016 Let's keep the central conus wet, will keep the heat ridge from forming easier. I think we see two smaller ridges form this summer one in the west and another one near the east coast/Bermuda. . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 19, 2016 Author Report Share Posted April 19, 2016 I think we see two smaller ridges form this summer one in the west and another one near the east coast/Bermuda. . I will take small victories. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 19, 2016 Report Share Posted April 19, 2016 here was week 2 look Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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