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2/22 Weeklies, I Can't Tell A Lie, Smarch, then Morch


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week 1 +pna/-ao/-enao/+epo/below normal hgts in the east

week 2  +pna/-epo/-ao/-enao/ below normal hgts in the northeast/split flow

week 3 +pna/-epo/-ao/-enao/below normal hgts northeast/split flow

week 4 neutral pna/neutral epo/-enao/-ao/slightly abv normal hgts over the region. 

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week 1 +pna/-ao/-enao/+epo/below normal hgts in the east

week 2  +pna/-epo/-ao/-enao/ below normal hgts in the northeast/split flow

week 3 +pna/-epo/-ao/-enao/below normal hgts northeast/split flow

week 4 neutral pna/neutral epo/-enao/-ao/slightly abv normal hgts over the region. 

If that week 4 look holds, I bet it would trend colder with how the trof/ridge orientation around the northern hemisphere is located. The h5 setup is pretty close to the previous 3 weeks, just flattens out the pna ridge a little, which is probably due to how far out it is. 

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temps

 

week 1 +3

week 2 0

week 3 +1

week 4 +1.5

 

precip is generally normal to slightly above

 

I'll give CFS2 some credit for making a stand, even if its the wrong one.

 

Week 1....+5F

Week 2....-4F

Week 3....+2F

Week 4....+7F

 

week 1 wet, week 2 dry, weeks 3 & 4 near normal.

 

Week 4 has highest 500mb departures in the Canadian Maritimes, reeks of backdoor highs.

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