Rainshadow Posted February 15, 2016 Report Share Posted February 15, 2016 CFS2 Week 1....+1F Week 2....+2F Week 3....+2F Week 4....+5F Weeks 1 and 4 wet, 2 and 3 dry. Looking at the 500 mb mean, weeks 2 and 3 look colder, or at least some cold shots, week 4 very el ninoish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2016 Report Share Posted February 15, 2016 week 1 weak +pna/+epo/+nao/-nao week 2 +++pna/+epo/+ao/+nao week 3 +pna/+epo/-ao/+nao week 4 +pna/+epo/-ao/+nao/pretty nino like with stj cutting underneath with below normal hgts in south outside week 2, wouldn't say it's a teribly cold patter, probably a lot of +2/+3 stuff. But it has an active look to it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2016 Report Share Posted February 15, 2016 temps week 1 +1.5 week 2 +1 week 3 +2 week 4 +2.5 precip week 1 above week 2 normal week 3 below normal week 4 above. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted February 16, 2016 Report Share Posted February 16, 2016 Eventhough they are warm, snow chances through the end of the run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2016 Report Share Posted February 16, 2016 Eventhough they are warm, snow chances through the end of the run. yea I agree Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 16, 2016 Report Share Posted February 16, 2016 Eventhough they are warm, snow chances through the end of the run.i don't understand how though. Our normals are going up and that accelerates in march. If we are warmer than normal i would think snow chances are a long shot at best Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted February 16, 2016 Report Share Posted February 16, 2016 i don't understand how though. Our normals are going up and that accelerates in march. If we are warmer than normal i would think snow chances are a long shot at best timing gets a lot harder. Maybe you have a few nighttime deals with temps in the 20's at night. Then have several days with slightly warmer than normal temps. This whole winter has been warm and snowy, why not March as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 16, 2016 Report Share Posted February 16, 2016 i don't understand how though. Our normals are going up and that accelerates in march. If we are warmer than normal i would think snow chances are a long shot at best I wouldn't take the weeklies temps to heart. Below is the h5 setup on the weeklies. It has a ridge up northeast of the caspian which usually connects to cross polar flow. Then ridge in the west and another ridge in center of the atlantic. While you have a trof over siberia and another over europe into greenland. Yet it has a very weak trof look in the eastern US. That should be deeper in the southeast to match the trof up over siberia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 16, 2016 Report Share Posted February 16, 2016 Thanks for the explanation guys. Hoping to track a couple storms before the horrid heat and humidity come knocking for months on end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 16, 2016 Thanks for the explanation guys. Hoping to track a couple storms before the horrid heat and humidity come knocking for months on end. Horrid heat has been banned from this forum. If only that would work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 16, 2016 Report Share Posted February 16, 2016 Horrid heat has been banned from this forum. If only that would work. ban the 3 H's too. TIA! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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