Rainshadow Posted January 25, 2016 Report Share Posted January 25, 2016 CFS2 Week 1: -2F (tight gradient over our area, warmer north) Week 2: 0F Week 3: +2F Week 4: +5F (what ssw?) dry, normal, normal, dry on the precip. I didnt post the Canadians in the Thu thread, there is no Monday update so here are the Thu(s) Week 1 : normal and dry Week 2: normal (surrounded by warm) and dry Week 3: normal and normal Week 4: leaning warm and wet over parts of our area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted January 25, 2016 Report Share Posted January 25, 2016 Guesses. Week 1 +4 Warm-up Tuesday then a cool down. Whatever happens/doesn't happen Thursday then a weak clipper and warm-up again by day 7. Week 2 +3 Very warm first third of the week likely +5-10 then it goes below normal. Cutters throughout most of week. Perhaps enough lingering cold for transfer to secondary and a little snow before going to rain. Ends with cold shot. Week 3 -1 Day 15 of EPS had trough in place with cold start to week. Teleconnections may attempt to balance out MJO influence. Maybe storm chance late this week? Week 4 +3 Weeklies are biased toward MJO in warm phases and will miss strat warm effects which should be noticed by this point. Still snow chances around all weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 25, 2016 Report Share Posted January 25, 2016 week 1 +pna/-ao/+nao/neutral epo week 2 -epo/-ao/+nao/ neutral or slightly -pna week 3 +pna/neutral epo/-ao/+nao week 4 +pna/-epo/-ao/+nao Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted January 26, 2016 Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 week 1 +pna/-ao/+nao/neutral epo week 2 -epo/-ao/+nao/ neutral or slightly -pna week 3 +pna/neutral epo/-ao/+nao week 4 +pna/-epo/-ao/+nao And yet still warmer than normal throughout . A few degrees warmer than normal each week. Week 3 is the coolest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 26, 2016 Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 this is what I have week 1 0 or maybe +.5 week 2 +4 week 3 +2 week 4 +3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted January 26, 2016 Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 this is what I have week 1 0 or maybe +.5 week 2 +4 week 3 +2 week 4 +3 Yeah forgot about near normal this week. Week 3 should be cooler based on the 500 mb look. In fact I'm not placing much stock in weeks 3 and 4 tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted January 26, 2016 Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 Yeah forgot about near normal this week. Week 3 should be cooler based on the 500 mb look. In fact I'm not placing much stock in weeks 3 and 4 tonight. I imagine a lot of volatility given the SSW (drink tony!) talk for beginning of Feb. (displacement of PV for now, not a final destruction...) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted January 26, 2016 Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 Yeah forgot about near normal this week. Week 3 should be cooler based on the 500 mb look. In fact I'm not placing much stock in weeks 3 and 4 tonight.this. I will take the under on weeks 3 and 4. Maybe even week 2 also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted January 26, 2016 Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 this. I will take the under on weeks 3 and 4. Maybe even week 2 also. Days 5-10 will be very warm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted January 26, 2016 Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 Days 5-10 will be very warm.then i will take the over because +4 is rather meh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 26, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 this is what I have week 1 0 or maybe +.5 week 2 +4 week 3 +2 week 4 +3 Adam, These numbers our good? You never know with Tom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted January 26, 2016 Report Share Posted January 26, 2016 Adam, These numbers our good? You never know with Tom. The maps are hard to see with a lot of small contours around each area so it's an approximation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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