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12/24 happy holidays weeklies


Mitchg
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h5 setup on euro weeklies look a lot like what we have coming up with +pna. At times the ridging isn't that strong and you get more of a pacific flow, other times it builds up and you get some more canada flow. It looks pretty canonical nino. Low heights across the south, high heights in the north, split flow look. AO goes negative at some points other times positive..nothing really to take home from them. In general it looks like a seasonable at times but  mostly above normal pattern.

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h5 setup on euro weeklies look a lot like what we have coming up with +pna. At times the ridging isn't that strong and you get more of a pacific flow, other times it builds up and you get some more canada flow. It looks pretty canonical nino. Low heights across the south, high heights in the north, split flow look. AO goes negative at some points other times positive..nothing really to take home from them. In general it looks like a seasonable at times but  mostly above normal pattern.

 

someone will spin that to be "cold" I'm sure.

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Offset cfs2 weeklies get close to normal weeks 2 and 4, both weeks are oulooked drier. California gets slammed week 4 not sure how many times that has been outlooked this winter.

Yea in looking at the EPS one issue, while it gets colder, the mean troflooks to be pretty close to over head. Would like to see that a little further west to allow systems to amplify. The trof overhead just argues for clipper or dry as storms shoot off the se coast.

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Yea in looking at the EPS one issue, while it gets colder, the mean troflooks to be pretty close to over head. Would like to see that a little further west to allow systems to amplify. The trof overhead just argues for clipper or dry as storms shoot off the se coast.

 

Yes, pretty much the look on the 00z gefs, the 06z gefs was slightly better, farther west.

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