AdamPHLWx Posted April 13, 2015 Report Share Posted April 13, 2015 WAPOW: http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=FTG 0z GFS dumped almost 4' of snow in the vicinity of Denver. I doubt that verifies, but would not be surprised to see 20"+ west of downtown. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 13, 2015 Report Share Posted April 13, 2015 SREF mean for Denver and Boulder are around 10". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 13, 2015 Report Share Posted April 13, 2015 06z GFS now was 0.01" w/e. Cant make stuff like this up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 13, 2015 Report Share Posted April 13, 2015 foothills west of denver ftw? Euro looks like it focuses best snows sw of denver in the mtns Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted April 13, 2015 Report Share Posted April 13, 2015 Rockies on the road this week in SF and LA. PPD due to snow does happen there quite a bit. Southern Rockies may actually see more. This is another hard set-up for the models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted April 14, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 14, 2015 Looks like a good range is between 3 and 36 inches attm. Forecasting for the mountains is the worst. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 14, 2015 Report Share Posted April 14, 2015 Looks like a good range is between 3 and 36 inches attm. Forecasting for the mountains is the worst. I had my mid term evaluation yesterday and we spent alot of time on the faux blizzard. But after seeing yesterday's SREF output for Denver, we had cough cough tighter clustering. BTW caught your company's name with some news articles about the total cost of the blizzard in the northeast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted April 14, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 14, 2015 I had my mid term evaluation yesterday and we spent alot of time on the faux blizzard. Would've loved to be a fly on the wall for that conversation 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 14, 2015 Report Share Posted April 14, 2015 Would've loved to be a fly on the wall for that conversation I am getting the impression everyone wants to golf with me on November 4th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted April 14, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 14, 2015 I am getting the impression everyone wants to golf with me on November 4th. I'll meet you in the clubhouse Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 14, 2015 Report Share Posted April 14, 2015 im gonna go about 40 miles west of pueblo as my ground zero for snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 14, 2015 Report Share Posted April 14, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted April 15, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 15, 2015 Over imo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted April 16, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 16, 2015 I kinda chuckled at the WPC forecast. Median forecast is for 1-2" in Denver, but there is still a 5-10% chance of 24"+. Mountain forecasting is fun. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 16, 2015 Report Share Posted April 16, 2015 Well there is room for uncertainty given the predicted qpf: I was surprised there wasnt a snowier spread. The previous couple of runs had some double digit members. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted April 16, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 16, 2015 Well there is room for uncertainty given the predicted qpf: I was surprised there wasnt a snowier spread. The previous couple of runs had some double digit members. Oh yeah, I'm totally on board with the spread, it's hard to forecast out there. But the 0-24" spread is just something to laugh at. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 16, 2015 Report Share Posted April 16, 2015 Oh yeah, I'm totally on board with the spread, it's hard to forecast out there. But the 0-24" spread is just something to laugh at. They use a combination of 58 members for their snow probs, so now seeing the sref results, there must be some rather robust ecmwf ensemble members. Sorry I forget the spc sref plume image just saves as a blank, took me a while to get them correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 16, 2015 Report Share Posted April 16, 2015 The eps mean has 1-15" mean right around Aspen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 16, 2015 Report Share Posted April 16, 2015 Once upon a time the GFS and NAM kept ramping up snowfall forecasts out here, til the runs right before the storm had a solid 8-12 inches in Elko. Actual result? A bit over 2 At least in DC, the models usualy trend in the right direction right before the storm... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted April 17, 2015 Report Share Posted April 17, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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