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Late Season Denver Snowfall


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Looks like a good range is between 3 and 36 inches attm. Forecasting for the mountains is the worst.

 

I had my mid term evaluation yesterday and we spent alot of time on the faux blizzard. But after seeing yesterday's SREF output for Denver, we had cough cough tighter clustering.  BTW caught your company's name with some news articles about the total cost of the blizzard in the northeast.

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Well there is room for uncertainty given the predicted qpf:

 

I was surprised there wasnt a snowier spread.  The previous couple of runs had some double digit

members.

Oh yeah, I'm totally on board with the spread, it's hard to forecast out there. But the 0-24" spread is just something to laugh at.

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Oh yeah, I'm totally on board with the spread, it's hard to forecast out there. But the 0-24" spread is just something to laugh at.

 

They use a combination of 58 members for their snow probs, so now seeing the sref results, there must be some rather robust ecmwf ensemble members.

 

Sorry I forget the spc sref plume image just saves as a blank, took me a while to get them correct.

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Once upon a time the GFS and NAM kept ramping up snowfall forecasts out here, til the runs right before the storm had a solid 8-12 inches in Elko.  Actual result?  A bit over 2 :crazy:

 

At least in DC, the models usualy trend in the right direction right before the storm...

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