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2/19 Weeklies, Positively Inspiring


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from HM

 

New ECMWF weeklies continue to suggest a gradual building of the southern US / SE ridge in March (weeks 3-4). Surface temps respond week 4.

week 2 spatially is similar to week 1 but moderates cold. Week 3, the cold shrinks further and finally reversed week 4. hmmmm

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Reads similar to CFS2, maybe a little slower transition.

from HM

New ECMWF weeklies continue to suggest a gradual building of the southern US / SE ridge in March (weeks 3-4). Surface temps respond week 4.

week 2 spatially is similar to week 1 but moderates cold. Week 3, the cold shrinks further and finally reversed week 4. hmmmm

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Reads similar to CFS2, maybe a little slower transition.

 

this is what he said to me on twitter

 

He is saying weeks 3 and 4 look like phase 7 of mjo

 

yeah...more than anything. That's where the stagnant forcing has been really.Weeklies seem to hold all forcings despite T change

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