Rainshadow Posted February 19, 2015 Report Share Posted February 19, 2015 Well, offset CFS2 trends not as cold, except if you are in the Delmarva Coastal waters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 19, 2015 Report Share Posted February 19, 2015 from HM New ECMWF weeklies continue to suggest a gradual building of the southern US / SE ridge in March (weeks 3-4). Surface temps respond week 4. week 2 spatially is similar to week 1 but moderates cold. Week 3, the cold shrinks further and finally reversed week 4. hmmmm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 19, 2015 Report Share Posted February 19, 2015 Personally I think that makes sense with the MJO forcing, but who know if we get a sudden jet retraction and pop goes a +pna or -epo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 19, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2015 Reads similar to CFS2, maybe a little slower transition. from HM New ECMWF weeklies continue to suggest a gradual building of the southern US / SE ridge in March (weeks 3-4). Surface temps respond week 4. week 2 spatially is similar to week 1 but moderates cold. Week 3, the cold shrinks further and finally reversed week 4. hmmmm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 19, 2015 Report Share Posted February 19, 2015 Reads similar to CFS2, maybe a little slower transition. this is what he said to me on twitter He is saying weeks 3 and 4 look like phase 7 of mjo yeah...more than anything. That's where the stagnant forcing has been really.Weeklies seem to hold all forcings despite T change Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.