Summer 2023 Contest, Can Philly Do The GFS Proud & Hit 100F? Please Double Check The Table On Pg 2.

[Rainshadow]

The second most anticipated thread of the year & the one to get us thru the summer.

As is typical the # of days with high temps of 90F or higher at PHL is the centerpiece.

But, we need tie breakers.

So in order we ask your skilled outlook on:

1) The number of days PHL hits a max temp of 90F or higher.

2) During that period, the number of days PHL has a minimum temperature >70F.  

3) Number of days with a heat index of >105F. This has to occur on an hourly ob only.  Can't catch every special or 5 minute ob.

For a climo hint over the last 30 years, the number of days of 90F or higher has averaged 30 days, the number of days of 71F or higher has averaged 37 and I have no clue on the heat index. That one, you are on your own.

Now, not to drag out the contest, we are only counting the number of days with lows >70 during the time period that the high reaches 90s.

In other words, the first 90 degree day was June 1st and last August 31st.  Any days with lows >70 before June 1st or after August 31st don't get into the count.  Granted I don't think it is many, but it is to give one some time at the start to get your forecasts in and not to drag the contest out for some freaky October day.

In honor of the pathetic winter of 2022-23 the first place prize is a white flag. Tom & I are mulling customizing the flag.  Not sure how that is going to work, if we just come up with an expression (Winter 2022-23, it was only 9 days away) or give you the chance to personalize yourself.  Want to see the time involved.  Anyway, guess early and often.

The contest ends when the first 90F day occurs in PHL or May 31st (I wish), whichever comes first.

 

 

[Chubbs]

Hopefully we don't have to raise the white flag on summer

1) 38 90F days

2) 45 71F nights

3) 4 105F heat index days

[cbelke]

I gotta win one of these contests before I die...

1) 33 90F days

2) 40 71F nights

3) 5 105F heat index days

[FreshPrince]

 

1) 24 90F days

2) 41 71F nights

3) 8 105F heat index days

[iceman56]

1) 29 90F days

2) 39 >70F mins

3) 6 >104F HI days

[frankdp23]

1) 37 90F days

2) 44 >70F mins

3) 7 >104F HI days

[snowlurker]

1) 37 90F days

2) 52 greater than 70F nights

3) 1 greater than 105F heat index days

[SalemCountyNJ]

1) 40  90F days

2) 45 71F nights

3) 8 105F heat index days

[Parsley]

1) 44 days 90+

2) 52 days with a minimum temperature >70F.  

3) 7 days with a heat index of >105F. 

[Rainshadow]

On 5/3/2023 at 7:22 AM, Chubbs said:

Hopefully we don't have to raise the white flag on summer

1) 38 90F days

2) 45 71F nights

3) 4 105F heat index days

 

On 5/3/2023 at 7:41 AM, cbelke said:

I gotta win one of these contests before I die...

1) 33 90F days

2) 40 71F nights

3) 5 105F heat index days

 

On 5/3/2023 at 9:15 AM, FreshPrince said:

 

 

1) 24 90F days

2) 41 71F nights

3) 8 105F heat index days

 

On 5/3/2023 at 9:31 AM, iceman56 said:

1) 29 90F days

2) 39 >70F mins

3) 6 >104F HI days

 

On 5/3/2023 at 11:00 AM, frankdp23 said:

1) 37 90F days

2) 44 >70F mins

3) 7 >104F HI days

 

On 5/3/2023 at 4:21 PM, SalemCountyNJ said:

1) 40  90F days

2) 45 71F nights

3) 8 105F heat index days

Gentlemen, sorry for the confusion, but it is the number of days with a heat index of > 105F on an hourly ob. Not sure if you want to change it or not, just letting you know. I don’t think it will come down to this tie breaker, then again what do I know.

[nodriveslow]

1) 22 days 90+

2) 45 days with a minimum temperature >70F.  

3) 9 days with a heat index of >105F. 

[cbelke]

21 hours ago, Rainshadow said:

 

 

 

 

 

Gentlemen, sorry for the confusion, but it is the number of days with a heat index of > 105F on an hourly ob. Not sure if you want to change it or not, just letting you know. I don’t think it will come down to this tie breaker, then again what do I know.

So you want me to put a > as part of my response?  Take two...

I gotta win one of these contests before I die...

1) 33 90F days

2) 40 71F nights

3) 5 days with a heat index >105F 

 

[PreserveJon]

1. 37 90F days

2. 37 70F+ nights

3. 7 days with a heat index > 105F

(No, 7 is not my favorite number, why do you ask?)

[Captain Lou]

1. 34 days with 90F+ high temperatures 

2. 44 days with 71F+ low temperatures 

3. 5 days with a heat index that reaches over 105F.

[PRINCETON ANGLER]

41 days 90+

49 lows 70+

5 heat index 105+

[Rainshadow]

21 hours ago, cbelke said:

So you want me to put a > as part of my response?  Take two...

I gotta win one of these contests before I die...

1) 33 90F days

2) 40 71F nights

3) 5 days with a heat index >105F 

 

I wasn’t sure by your response if you meant 105 or >105. I was letting them go, but then I started seeing responses with >104, so I cast a wide net to avoid any confusion on everyone’s part.

[cbelke]

1 minute ago, Rainshadow said:

I wasn’t sure by your response if you meant 105 or >105. I was letting them go, but then I started seeing responses with >104, so I cast a wide net to avoid any confusion on everyone’s part.

No worries. I also never want to feel 105 days with a heat index greater than 105 degrees.  😉

[SalemCountyNJ]

All good, not going to sweat over it...Ha Ha

[NEchestercountydude]

1) 31 - 90F days

2) 37 - 71F nights

3) 4 - days with a heat index >105F 

[Qtown Snow]

1) 39 : 90+

2) 45 : >70F 

3) 5 : heat index of >105F 

[Stoudt525]

1) 38: 90+

2) 44: 70F+

3) 7: heat index 105F+

[Rainshadow]

One more day to get your picks in.

[JSchwake28]

1) 35 - 90F+

2) 41 - 70F+

3) 6 - HI 105F+

[colonel_kurtz]

1. 32 - 90(+)

2. 39 - >70(+)

3. 3 - H.I. >105

[Rainshadow]

Okay contest is closed.  I will compose a table in the next couple of days and may the best member win!!!!