Rainshadow Posted May 2 Report Share Posted May 2 The second most anticipated thread of the year & the one to get us thru the summer. As is typical the # of days with high temps of 90F or higher at PHL is the centerpiece. But, we need tie breakers. So in order we ask your skilled outlook on: 1) The number of days PHL hits a max temp of 90F or higher. 2) During that period, the number of days PHL has a minimum temperature >70F. 3) Number of days with a heat index of >105F. This has to occur on an hourly ob only. Can't catch every special or 5 minute ob. For a climo hint over the last 30 years, the number of days of 90F or higher has averaged 30 days, the number of days of 71F or higher has averaged 37 and I have no clue on the heat index. That one, you are on your own. Now, not to drag out the contest, we are only counting the number of days with lows >70 during the time period that the high reaches 90s. In other words, the first 90 degree day was June 1st and last August 31st. Any days with lows >70 before June 1st or after August 31st don't get into the count. Granted I don't think it is many, but it is to give one some time at the start to get your forecasts in and not to drag the contest out for some freaky October day. In honor of the pathetic winter of 2022-23 the first place prize is a white flag. Tom & I are mulling customizing the flag. Not sure how that is going to work, if we just come up with an expression (Winter 2022-23, it was only 9 days away) or give you the chance to personalize yourself. Want to see the time involved. Anyway, guess early and often. The contest ends when the first 90F day occurs in PHL or May 31st (I wish), whichever comes first. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 3 Report Share Posted May 3 Hopefully we don't have to raise the white flag on summer 1) 38 90F days 2) 45 71F nights 3) 4 105F heat index days 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted May 3 Report Share Posted May 3 I gotta win one of these contests before I die... 1) 33 90F days 2) 40 71F nights 3) 5 105F heat index days 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreshPrince Posted May 3 Report Share Posted May 3 1) 24 90F days 2) 41 71F nights 3) 8 105F heat index days 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted May 3 Report Share Posted May 3 1) 29 90F days 2) 39 >70F mins 3) 6 >104F HI days 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frankdp23 Posted May 3 Report Share Posted May 3 1) 37 90F days 2) 44 >70F mins 3) 7 >104F HI days 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted May 3 Report Share Posted May 3 1) 37 90F days 2) 52 greater than 70F nights 3) 1 greater than 105F heat index days 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemCountyNJ Posted May 3 Report Share Posted May 3 1) 40 90F days 2) 45 71F nights 3) 8 105F heat index days 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 4 Report Share Posted May 4 1) 44 days 90+ 2) 52 days with a minimum temperature >70F. 3) 7 days with a heat index of >105F. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 7 Author Report Share Posted May 7 On 5/3/2023 at 7:22 AM, Chubbs said: Hopefully we don't have to raise the white flag on summer 1) 38 90F days 2) 45 71F nights 3) 4 105F heat index days On 5/3/2023 at 7:41 AM, cbelke said: I gotta win one of these contests before I die... 1) 33 90F days 2) 40 71F nights 3) 5 105F heat index days On 5/3/2023 at 9:15 AM, FreshPrince said: 1) 24 90F days 2) 41 71F nights 3) 8 105F heat index days On 5/3/2023 at 9:31 AM, iceman56 said: 1) 29 90F days 2) 39 >70F mins 3) 6 >104F HI days On 5/3/2023 at 11:00 AM, frankdp23 said: 1) 37 90F days 2) 44 >70F mins 3) 7 >104F HI days On 5/3/2023 at 4:21 PM, SalemCountyNJ said: 1) 40 90F days 2) 45 71F nights 3) 8 105F heat index days Gentlemen, sorry for the confusion, but it is the number of days with a heat index of > 105F on an hourly ob. Not sure if you want to change it or not, just letting you know. I don’t think it will come down to this tie breaker, then again what do I know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nodriveslow Posted May 8 Report Share Posted May 8 1) 22 days 90+ 2) 45 days with a minimum temperature >70F. 3) 9 days with a heat index of >105F. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted May 8 Report Share Posted May 8 21 hours ago, Rainshadow said: Gentlemen, sorry for the confusion, but it is the number of days with a heat index of > 105F on an hourly ob. Not sure if you want to change it or not, just letting you know. I don’t think it will come down to this tie breaker, then again what do I know. So you want me to put a > as part of my response? Take two... I gotta win one of these contests before I die... 1) 33 90F days 2) 40 71F nights 3) 5 days with a heat index >105F 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PreserveJon Posted May 8 Report Share Posted May 8 1. 37 90F days 2. 37 70F+ nights 3. 7 days with a heat index > 105F (No, 7 is not my favorite number, why do you ask?) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Lou Posted May 8 Report Share Posted May 8 1. 34 days with 90F+ high temperatures 2. 44 days with 71F+ low temperatures 3. 5 days with a heat index that reaches over 105F. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PRINCETON ANGLER Posted May 9 Report Share Posted May 9 41 days 90+ 49 lows 70+ 5 heat index 105+ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 9 Author Report Share Posted May 9 21 hours ago, cbelke said: So you want me to put a > as part of my response? Take two... I gotta win one of these contests before I die... 1) 33 90F days 2) 40 71F nights 3) 5 days with a heat index >105F I wasn’t sure by your response if you meant 105 or >105. I was letting them go, but then I started seeing responses with >104, so I cast a wide net to avoid any confusion on everyone’s part. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted May 9 Report Share Posted May 9 1 minute ago, Rainshadow said: I wasn’t sure by your response if you meant 105 or >105. I was letting them go, but then I started seeing responses with >104, so I cast a wide net to avoid any confusion on everyone’s part. No worries. I also never want to feel 105 days with a heat index greater than 105 degrees. 😉 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemCountyNJ Posted May 12 Report Share Posted May 12 All good, not going to sweat over it...Ha Ha 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted May 26 Report Share Posted May 26 1) 31 - 90F days 2) 37 - 71F nights 3) 4 - days with a heat index >105F 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted May 29 Report Share Posted May 29 1) 39 : 90+ 2) 45 : >70F 3) 5 : heat index of >105F 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stoudt525 Posted May 29 Report Share Posted May 29 1) 38: 90+ 2) 44: 70F+ 3) 7: heat index 105F+ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 30 Author Report Share Posted May 30 One more day to get your picks in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSchwake28 Posted May 30 Report Share Posted May 30 1) 35 - 90F+ 2) 41 - 70F+ 3) 6 - HI 105F+ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted May 31 Report Share Posted May 31 1. 32 - 90(+) 2. 39 - >70(+) 3. 3 - H.I. >105 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 1 Author Report Share Posted June 1 Okay contest is closed. I will compose a table in the next couple of days and may the best member win!!!! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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