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1/22-1/23 Precipitation Event Observations


irishbri74
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27 minutes ago, irishbri74 said:

👀sniffing something out? Or just sniffing glue?

A1AC8919-30B1-40BF-A2D1-81BDF59C0781.png

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The 06 gfs may be overdone, but the euro is also trending towards developing a back-end round of qpf. Here are the last 4 runs.

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_us_fh45_trend.gif

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1 minute ago, ErieWX said:

I recommend that we all head to Wegmans to get a cartload and stock up. 

GFS issues aside, these clown ptype maps make matters worse.  Algorithms must key on 850mb temps and assume if it is less than 0C it is snowing and then assume the 10:1 ratio every flake will accumulate.  Kuchera less, but not as much as one would think.  This is the Cobb output from that 06z GFS run.  I am curious as to what EMC graphics will show, they are often more in tune with the whole thermal profile. : 

 

 

khpl.JPG

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