Heisenberg Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 We got snow for this system on every model tonight. First time all year. Happy New Year 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 5 hours ago, Heisenberg said: Mitch ukie looks close to something big, and there’s a few big hitters on the GEFS It was something bigger, just not for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 New Year, new thread. Buckle Up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 You don't often see changes like this one in 6 hours on the Gfs let alone the Euro. Top panel is 0z at 96 hrs and bottom is 6z at 90. Hopefully, 12z is entertaining with plenty of blue ink over us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 eps are coming along to the inv trough idea, but thermals are a big issue on them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 gfs could be more interesting here at 12z for coastal storm prospects. Not sure if thermals will cooperate but it looks like it will take a step towards a better coastal low with less of a pos tilted trough which should pull everything a bit closer in. ULL is also a good bit stronger here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted January 1 Author Report Share Posted January 1 I go to sleep and every model loses snow. Happy new year! looks like with models holding that ULL farther W we have temp issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted January 1 Author Report Share Posted January 1 Ukie, if we fail here it’s fine though. Pattern starting to actually look really good towards mid month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 11 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: I go to sleep and every model loses snow. Happy new year! looks like with models holding that ULL farther W we have temp issues That and the northern stream which brings cold in isn’t involved as much. So all the cold is associated with ULL until that works in temp issues. Only thing to counter that would be faster deepening low further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 17 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: Ukie, if we fail here it’s fine though. Pattern starting to actually look really good towards mid month It is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted January 1 Author Report Share Posted January 1 41 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It is? Well it was, maybe a little step back last night lol…Would you say this has potential here? Guess depends if there would be enough confluence near us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: Well it was, maybe a little step back last night lol…Would you say this has potential here? Guess depends if there would be enough confluence near us I don’t like that how we don’t build on that look in the 11-15 day. Gefs 06z and 12z geps just dump a trough in the west towards the end of the run. Would leave a small window with a meh airmass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted January 1 Author Report Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I don’t like that how we don’t build on that look in the 11-15 day. Gefs 06z and 12z geps just dump a trough in the west towards the end of the run. Would leave a small window with a meh airmass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: Yikes….a one week window lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErieWX Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 19 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yikes….a one week window lol Buckle up!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, Heisenberg said: Ukie, if we fail here it’s fine though. Pattern starting to actually look really good towards mid month Ukie on day 6 looks better to me. Cold air in place and a disturbance headed right for us in the Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 Euro is such a party pooper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 6 minutes ago, Mitchnick said: Euro is such a party pooper. The euro is deadly when it shows no snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 12 minutes ago, Allsnow said: The euro is deadly when it shows no snow I just hope the Canadian is right. Gfs would work too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted January 1 Author Report Share Posted January 1 Ensembles def like the 13-15th time frame for some kind of coastal, we’ll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, Heisenberg said: Ensembles def like the 13-15th time frame for some kind of coastal, we’ll see GREAT… Snow on snow after the Friday coastal‼️ 🙄😏 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted January 1 Author Report Share Posted January 1 58 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: GREAT… Snow on snow after the Friday coastal‼️ 🙄😏 Yea lol….this is getting tiresome already. I mean it does look like ensembles give us maybe a window mid month but hard to get excited for anything right now with this has a snow mean on the EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 31 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: Yea lol….this is getting tiresome already. I mean it does look like ensembles give us maybe a window mid month but hard to get excited for anything right now with this has a snow mean on the EPS Reminds me so much of 19-20 currently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErieWX Posted January 1 Report Share Posted January 1 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Reminds me so much of 19-20 currently This is more like December ‘15. Yeah January torched in ‘19-‘20 but if I remember correctly it didn’t have the same pattern I.e. a raging low latitude pac jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted January 1 Author Report Share Posted January 1 This we take, long way to go though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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