Rainshadow Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Details to follow. For now, an 18z appetizer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 7, 2022 Wow 18z again. @tombo82685, a little too conservative, no? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 7, 2022 Report Share Posted October 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: Wow 18z again. @tombo82685, a little too conservative, no? I’d quadrupole that 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErieWX Posted October 7, 2022 Report Share Posted October 7, 2022 On 10/4/2022 at 7:19 PM, Rainshadow said: Details to follow. For now, an 18z appetizer. Some eps members are hitting snow too out to the end of the run, although not as crazy as the gfs as usual Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 7, 2022 17 hours ago, ErieWX said: Some eps members are hitting snow too out to the end of the run, although not as crazy as the gfs as usual The more they try (and they are trying) to make the GFS better, I don't know where the issue(s) lie. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErieWX Posted October 7, 2022 Report Share Posted October 7, 2022 25 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: The more they try (and they are trying) to make the GFS better, I don't know where the issue(s) lie. Well from someone who works more on the technical side of things, I can tell you firsthand that you can have all of the talent in the world on your team but you’re only as good as the available technology/frameworks that are available to you, which require funding, budgets, etc. and that’s where I’ll stop and say it’s a rabbit hole I can debate on another day… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 7, 2022 2 hours ago, ErieWX said: Well from someone who works more on the technical side of things, I can tell you firsthand that you can have all of the talent in the world on your team but you’re only as good as the available technology/frameworks that are available to you, which require funding, budgets, etc. and that’s where I’ll stop and say it’s a rabbit hole I can debate on another day… True, true, true. Once again the 18z GFS shows why it is @tombo82685's favorite run of the day.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 7, 2022 Well anyway as much as I can post 18z GFS runs til the figs stop producing, going to follow the same suit as last cold season. GFS usefulness starts a little past day 8. It has been stuck there since 2016. To make it simpler and give it a half a day break, I will look at the highest predicted snowfall (10:1 ratio, we all know it is not perfect, but I can't Cobb the European) for any sounding run within 192 hours (day 8). Andddddd, to not let the European, he of day 9 Heisy snowmaggedons, totally off the hook, I will do the same for it again up to 192 hours. Let the best model forecast the most snowfall win... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 13, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 Euro with early lead within 8 days of 3.5" vs _______? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2022 If only the 18z GFS would count… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 16, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Can't wait to see today's 18z run if the 12z run does this... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 On 11/13/2022 at 9:12 PM, Rainshadow said: If only the 18z GFS would count… That would be awesome!! We all have better odds of winning the Powerball. 😉 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 17, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2022 7 hours ago, cbelke said: That would be awesome!! We all have better odds of winning the Powerball. 😉 That was a Lucy 18z run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 On 11/13/2022 at 2:55 PM, Rainshadow said: Euro with early lead within 8 days of 3.5" vs _______? This was the Friday before Thanksgiving and that went well. Now this take a dive Friday ( Dec 9th) again system Euro had 0.7" today. GFS had 0.2" on other sites but not the official EMC site that I have been using for qpf comparisons. I am going to have to make a decision as to which site to use. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Rainshadow said: This was the Friday before Thanksgiving and that went well. Now this take a dive Friday ( Dec 9th) again system Euro had 0.7" today. GFS had 0.2" on other sites but not the official EMC site that I have been using for qpf comparisons. I am going to have to make a decision as to which site to use. Coin toss on which one to use!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 hour ago, cbelke said: Coin toss on which one to use!! Joe Willie! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 8, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 The GFS shutout is over. Going to go with EMC site with them as that is the one I use for snowfall in the evaluation. So far the Euro is in the lead. Friday before Thanksgiving Euro 3.5" vs 0" The Shredder Euro 0.8" vs 0" (so far) The Blocker Euro 0.2" vs 0.6" (so far) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 On 12/8/2022 at 8:21 AM, Rainshadow said: The GFS shutout is over. Going to go with EMC site with them as that is the one I use for snowfall in the evaluation. So far the Euro is in the lead. Friday before Thanksgiving Euro 3.5" vs 0" The Shredder Euro 0.8" vs 0" (so far) The Blocker Euro 0.2" vs 0.6" (so far) The Eye Opener (TBD) If only the 06z GFS could count thru its entirety. More than the average seasonal snowfall total for DC & PHL before Christmas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 10, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2022 Actual bolded Friday before Thanksgiving Euro 3.5" vs GFS 0" vs 0" actual The Shredder (12/9) Euro 0.8" vs GFS 0" vs 0" actual The Blocker (12/11) Euro 0.2" vs GFS 0.6" (so far) The Eye Opener (12/15-16ish) Euro 7.7" vs GFS 0" (so far) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 14, 2022 Report Share Posted December 14, 2022 Do you like when the gfs drops 8' of snow on the tug in the next 15 days? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 15, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 14 hours ago, tombo82685 said: Do you like when the gfs drops 80' of snow on the tug in the next 15 days? A little overdone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 15, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Friday before Thanksgiving Euro 3.5" vs GFS 0" vs 0" actual The Shredder (12/9) Euro 0.8" vs GFS 0" vs 0" actual The Blocker (12/11) Euro 0.2" vs GFS 0.6" vs 0" actual The Eye Opener (12/15-16ish) Euro 7.7" vs GFS 0" (saved the best for 6z & 18z) The Christmas Present (12/22-23ish) Euro 3.4" vs GFS 0" (thru 192hrs, looks like it is going to have its work cut out for it this time) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 16, 2022 Report Share Posted December 16, 2022 11 hours ago, Rainshadow said: A little overdone. 18z drops 100” next 15 days over tug Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 16, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2022 2 hours ago, tombo82685 said: 18z drops 100” next 15 days over tug That will do GFS? That will do GFS? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2022 Report Share Posted December 17, 2022 20 hours ago, Rainshadow said: That will do GFS? That will do GFS? pinch me gigi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.