Rainshadow Posted May 1, 2022 Report Share Posted May 1, 2022 First Mount Holly begged us no tornadoes in this contest and for good measure keep hurricanes out of this. First, you the contestants (majority rule) decide the prize, or more specifically what image goes on the mug of your prize. The outlook criteria. The first is the traditional number of 90 degree or higher days Philadelphia will have this year. We look safe (he thinks) for a while, so the contest stays open until May 31st or the first 90 degree day. The first tie breaker is the number of calendar days during that period from the first to last 90 degree day that Philadelphia Intl observed a thunderstorm. A 3 on the F6. No CB north, ltgng S remarks. Thunder in the observation. Doesn't matter if there are 8 thunderstorms on that one day, it still counts as only one. Conversely, one might get tripped by a thunderstorm occurring right at midnight, those are the breaks. The second tie breaker is whoever enters the information first. So if the closest to be right @Chubbs entered 55 90 degree days and 12 days with thunderstorms on May 3rd and @tombo82685 entered the same forecast on May 5th, @Chubbs wins! (well we all lose with 55 90 degree days, but that is another story. Okay so get cracking and give us your best forecasts. Also chose which image you want on your mug. A) Heisey's two tickets to paradise radar image from 1/29 B ) A super weenie image ( @tombo82685 will pick an image if this wins. This is just an example. C) A picture of Tony's figs this upcoming summer. Again example, my figs will be sooooo much better. Good luck and may the best forecaster win !!!!!!!!! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 1, 2022 Author Report Share Posted May 1, 2022 This is the form that will be used to verify the number of days with thunder. In this example, three days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 I'll go 37 90F days, same as last year. 27 thunder days Super Weenie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 I'll run with a total of 35 90F days and 30 thunder days. I will want my winning mug to have ... C - Figs (They better be damn good Tony 😉 ) and IF, I say IF I win, the mug has to be full of fresh figs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 2, 2022 Author Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 @Chubbs & @cbelke, you have to vote on what you want on your mug if you win. Tom needs time to order it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 33 Days 90+ 29 Thunder C) figs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frankdp23 Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 39 days 90+ 28 thunder b) Super Weenie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 46 minutes ago, Bananashadow said: @Chubbs & @cbelke, you have to vote on what you want on your mug if you win. Tom needs time to order it. Made my changes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 2, 2022 Author Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 21 minutes ago, cbelke said: Made my changes. If only figs had a shelf life. The tree survived the winter in terms of die back. I don't know how, it is blooming from the top of most of the branches. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rojojojo Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 35 days of 90+ 25 thunder days. As much as I like option A, I want the fig mug (C). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 90 days - 41 Thunder days - 19 Fig mug Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 90 = 42 Thunder = 31 Mug= 1st choice would be Hula Pic but I'll go with Fig. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 32 19 tom-approved super weenie logo mug Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nodriveslow Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 90 = 36 Thunder = 29 Mug= super weenie logo mug Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 2, 2022 Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 10 hours ago, Bananashadow said: @Chubbs & @cbelke, you have to vote on what you want on your mug if you win. Tom needs time to order it. Super Weenie!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 2, 2022 Author Report Share Posted May 2, 2022 4 hours ago, Qtown Snow said: 90 = 42 Thunder = 31 Mug= 1st choice would be Hula Pic but I'll go with Fig. Maybe next year? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PRINCETON ANGLER Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 29 days 90+ 20 with thunder Figs… will be a fabulous conversation piece. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowx Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 With the below detailed analysis I will go with: 34 days with 90+ 18 with thunder Weenie mug Away from the heat island and with the recent trending to cooling 90+ day summers...my forecast for the Chesco area is East Nantmeal - 3 days / KMQS = 7 days and KPTW = 5 days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 6, 2022 Report Share Posted May 6, 2022 14 hours ago, chescowx said: With the below detailed analysis I will go with: 34 days with 90+ 18 with thunder Weenie mug Away from the heat island and with the recent trending to cooling 90+ day summers...my forecast for the Chesco area is East Nantmeal - 3 days / KMQS = 7 days and KPTW = 5 days Seems like we've been over this a million times. All I have to do is pull up the old charts. The ChescoWx stations have different 90F stats and shouldn't be combined. Coatesville 2W matches phl very well. kmqs and E Nant are only available for a short period and don't have any discernible trends, no obvious differences with phl. KPTW has a bad sensor, with a big spike in 2010/11, and doesn't look like any other regional station. Other regional sites match phl. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowx Posted May 6, 2022 Report Share Posted May 6, 2022 1 hour ago, Chubbs said: Seems like we've been over this a million times. All I have to do is pull up the old charts. The ChescoWx stations have different 90F stats and shouldn't be combined. Coatesville 2W matches phl very well. kmqs and E Nant are only available for a short period and don't have any discernible trends, no obvious differences with phl. KPTW has a bad sensor, with a big spike in 2010/11, and doesn't look like any other regional station. Other regional sites match phl. Duly noted but I as always simply stick with the facts (highlight the sources) and analyze what we have... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSchwake28 Posted May 6, 2022 Report Share Posted May 6, 2022 30 90+ days 21 with thunder Weenie mug Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted May 6, 2022 Report Share Posted May 6, 2022 37 90+ 27 thunder days Option A on mug thanks for running For Paul, 15 days 90+ at the other end of the twp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted May 6, 2022 Report Share Posted May 6, 2022 90+ 38 T 23 Weenie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemCountyNJ Posted May 8, 2022 Report Share Posted May 8, 2022 90+ 36 days Thunder - 24 days Figs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Lou Posted May 13, 2022 Report Share Posted May 13, 2022 90+ 25 days Thunder 20 days Fig grocery bag😄.... kidding Fig mug Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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