Rainshadow Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Go… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Hour 384 looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACwx Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 In the scope of "GFS sniffing out long-range threats" - this will probably be the next time frame to focus on something after this weekend's system. GFS has been trying to show some type of overrunning event in the Eastern US around February 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErieWX Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 2 hours ago, ACwx said: In the scope of "GFS sniffing out long-range threats" - this will probably be the next time frame to focus on something after this weekend's system. GFS has been trying to show some type of overrunning event in the Eastern US around February 5 Looks messy for my area. Definitely want some southward movement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 25 Report Share Posted January 25 51 minutes ago, ErieWX said: Looks messy for my area. Definitely want some southward movement That period around next Friday looks tough down here and possibly even in my area. Euro has looked decent with a big man high out in front 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErieWX Posted January 25 Report Share Posted January 25 2 hours ago, tombo82685 said: That period around next Friday looks tough down here and possibly even in my area. Euro has looked decent with a big man high out in front Yeah in 18z gfs it takes a sharp cut north into SW Ontario. Less ice/mixing but more heavy rain on front end which is still an issue with our snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 25 Report Share Posted January 25 Hard pressed to get these models (Euro, GGEM and GFS) to agree on storm evolution 4 days out, but 10 days out they have remarkable agreement on the east coast temperature profiles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2/4-2/5 or so may trend more favorably. Cutters are generally being modeled. Pros: - split flow w/ active stj - developing +PNA - confluence from broad TPV may blanket HP over top (similar to today - always a timing issue w/ no Greenland block) - strong qpf signal and ensemble consensus (at least on GEFS) I imagine we eat a cutter then a wave develops along the baroclinic zone, which will represent a sharp temp gradient. Wouldn't be surprised to see guidance shift mean storm flow SE as lead time diminishes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Join me over here. The sloth brought snacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 As long as the calendar still says “winter”, I will be interested in snow chances. And February is typically our snowiest month. So thanks for breaking down the next opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Bring it home @susqushawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Bring it home @susqushawn Only thing I brought home tonight came from the liquor store 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, susqushawn said: Only thing I brought home tonight came from the liquor store I baked fudge brownies with my daughter today. That's should make the pain go away a bit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamesk262 Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 6z GFS perfect for FEB 6th. Atleast something nice that look at until 12z run when it's different. I know I'm really reaching here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 3 hours ago, Jamesk262 said: 6z GFS perfect for FEB 6th. Atleast something nice that look at until 12z run when it's different. I know I'm really reaching here. On it's still on the 12z. But guess where the max snowfall is? You guessed it.....Virginia lol But I would take it verbatim in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 Another one on day 12 on the GFS too, but more like a 2-4". lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMcCaughey42 Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 37 minutes ago, Mitchnick said: On it's still on the 12z. But guess where the max snowfall is? You guessed it.....Virginia lol But I would take it verbatim in a heartbeat. Looks like a nice setup too...huge precip field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Debeaches Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 I like this look for everyone- I’ll enjoy my 60s during the week and hope this stays on track for next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Debeaches Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 Lock it in -😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 GFS actually has 3 systems, the first being the best. I'm excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 Wow gfs really locking in that Feb 5 storm. It’s on every run now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 Ggem in full support of that day 10 threat looks beuatiful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 54 minutes ago, Mitchnick said: GFS actually has 3 systems, the first being the best. I'm excited. One of them has to work out, right??? 😜 It’s good to see there are threats to track during a time that looked suspect for cold not all that long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 As usual, Euro says "what storm"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 27 Report Share Posted January 27 1 hour ago, Mitchnick said: As usual, Euro says "what storm"? The eps for a few days haven’t been a believer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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