tombo82685 Posted November 16, 2021 Report Share Posted November 16, 2021 Post any threat of snow in here from 5 days on out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 16, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 16, 2021 I think Tony mentioned this in the long range disc about eps have a better signal tgiving weekend than for earlier in week. To me that is probably the better shot, not saying much right now but atleast we will have (hopefully) an established block in place and possibly 50/50 low. If you remember the tombo golden rules for snow around here, need a good source region of cold established prior to storm. We will atleast have that leading up to it as of now. In 4 days who knows what it will look like 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 16, 2021 Report Share Posted November 16, 2021 2 hours ago, tombo82685 said: I think Tony mentioned this in the long range disc about eps have a better signal tgiving weekend than for earlier in week. To me that is probably the better shot, not saying much right now but atleast we will have (hopefully) an established block in place and possibly 50/50 low. If you remember the tombo golden rules for snow around here, need a good source region of cold established prior to storm. We will atleast have that leading up to it as of now. In 4 days who knows what it will look like Wouldn’t be shocked if your new place tickles 60 next week as the cutter amps up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 16, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Wouldn’t be shocked if your new place tickles 60 next week as the cutter amps up When? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted November 16, 2021 Report Share Posted November 16, 2021 28 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: When? Hopefully he means 60" of pow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted November 16, 2021 Report Share Posted November 16, 2021 I can't tell you just how much this particular thread makes me happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted November 17, 2021 Report Share Posted November 17, 2021 45 minutes ago, snowlurker said: I can't tell you just how much this particular thread makes me happy. Agreed. Tom just throws this out there today, I imagine a few others will come out of hibernation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted November 17, 2021 Report Share Posted November 17, 2021 1 hour ago, snowlurker said: I can't tell you just how much this particular thread makes me happy. Yes! It is time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted November 17, 2021 Report Share Posted November 17, 2021 6 hours ago, Allsnow said: Wouldn’t be shocked if your new place tickles 60 next week as the cutter amps up 2-3" on the ground in Colebrook, NH looks like on the web cam. Hoping the warm wave wipes it out. Got a good bit of grass I didn't get mowed that I'd like to take care of next week. Then it can pile it up on top. Have a 52" snow stake that I hope to see buried around March 1. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 17, 2021 Report Share Posted November 17, 2021 5 hours ago, tombo82685 said: When? Early next week. If that system amps up and cuts the east coast might get warm for a day/two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WINTERweatherguy Posted November 17, 2021 Report Share Posted November 17, 2021 5 hours ago, blinkers88 said: Yes! It is time I awake from my slumber! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted November 17, 2021 Report Share Posted November 17, 2021 Ah, the media got wind of a "potentially significant" winter storm next week. Let the mind games begin!! 😜 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 I feel like this would be a winter storm setup in December...it could still be if that confluence pushed a bit farther SE. As is that's almost a textbook 50/50...looks like the models are splitting off the southern energy and allowing NS push out ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 6z GFS has something similar in this time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 13 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: I feel like this would be a winter storm setup in December...it could still be if that confluence pushed a bit farther SE. As is that's almost a textbook 50/50...looks like the models are splitting off the southern energy and allowing NS push out ahead The 12z euro run yesterday (below) was even better for our area. Timing is a good for a NE storm, with NAO- relaxing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Shades of December 2019? I remember we had blocking to start that month with a early season snowstorm for sne. It was mainly white rain for my area as the temps were around 33-34. After that, the blocking broke down and the Pv went ham 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 52 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Shades of December 2019? I remember we had blocking to start that month with a early season snowstorm for sne. It was mainly white rain for my area as the temps were around 33-34. After that, the blocking broke down and the Pv went ham Different enso state though? Believe that was nino? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 12z euro was somewhat close at the end of the run, the first event would probably be an interior threat, but verbatim at 240 there was a clipper threat. Pieces are in place for some potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 2 hours ago, Heisenberg said: 12z euro was somewhat close at the end of the run, the first event would probably be an interior threat, but verbatim at 240 there was a clipper threat. Pieces are in place for some potential If the northern stream dove in quicker, that run would’ve produced IMO. There is some potential in that timeframe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted November 20, 2021 Report Share Posted November 20, 2021 I was looking through the pictures/screen shots I took last year. I came across a model run from around the same time last year, looks pretty similar eh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted November 20, 2021 Report Share Posted November 20, 2021 40 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: I was looking through the pictures/screen shots I took last year. I came across a model run from around the same time last year, looks pretty similar eh? Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted November 20, 2021 Report Share Posted November 20, 2021 1 hour ago, Heisenberg said: I was looking through the pictures/screen shots I took last year. I came across a model run from around the same time last year, looks pretty similar eh? After a torch 19/20 winter and a warm November guessing there was some angst last year. After a period of being weaker, the PV is about where it was last year also. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Looks like we may have to wait until 2nd week of Dec for any shakeup. Pattern just seems so similar to last year. Wonder if there will be a noreaster rain event around the 5-8th like last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
philastorian Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 On 11/16/2021 at 6:30 PM, snowlurker said: I can't tell you just how much this particular thread makes me happy. The voice of my inner five-year-old just squealed "YAAAAAYYYYY!!!! THIS thread!!!!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 9 hours ago, Heisenberg said: Looks like we may have to wait until 2nd week of Dec for any shakeup. Pattern just seems so similar to last year. Wonder if there will be a noreaster rain event around the 5-8th like last year Looks like you need to look at the 18z Gfs. This is possibly my most favorite wx map outside of a snowfall map I ever posted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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