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Temps/Obs/Pcpn/Run-Of-The-Mill Weather Discussion


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Getting ready for a cool night.  Nice looking clouds.

Spent the weekend up in Waterville along Pine Creek Gorge. Such beautiful country up there. Leonard Harrison SP was closed due to heavy rains washing out the road in, but the view from the other side

Beautiful day on The Pinnacle, Hawk Mountain

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SPC bumped to slight risk Philly N.  NWS mentions QLCS setup with non-zero risk of brief spinup.  Gusty winds biggest threat.   

High shear, modest helicity, weak CAPE (but more than was modeled yesterday, sunshine dependent).

CAM's favoring Lehigh Valley N but obs time. 

Does using 5 acronyms win me a prize?  

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Well I guess we all learned from this summer that high-shear, low-CAPE events can produce, but I’m not too bullish on the tornado threat today. The convection to the west is progressing rapidly and looks like it will arrive fairly early in the day; I just can’t imagine we are going to build up much instability by then. 

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