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Temps/Obs/Pcpn/Run-Of-The-Mill Weather Discussion


Bananashadow
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SPC bumped to slight risk Philly N.  NWS mentions QLCS setup with non-zero risk of brief spinup.  Gusty winds biggest threat.   

High shear, modest helicity, weak CAPE (but more than was modeled yesterday, sunshine dependent).

CAM's favoring Lehigh Valley N but obs time. 

Does using 5 acronyms win me a prize?  

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Well I guess we all learned from this summer that high-shear, low-CAPE events can produce, but I’m not too bullish on the tornado threat today. The convection to the west is progressing rapidly and looks like it will arrive fairly early in the day; I just can’t imagine we are going to build up much instability by then. 

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