irishbri74 Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Post all obs associated with tropical system Henri in here : wall of water just offshore 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted August 21, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Def buying the HRRR depiction (and other models) of the western side being prolific rain maker. Unsure of eventual location, but this is ominous Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Interesting mimic loop. Looks like structure improved for a while, but couldn't maintain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACwx Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Very outer fringes moving through now. Just a 2-3 minute moderate shower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeD Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Sitting on the beach in north wildwood just had 2 large claps of thunder sky's are ominous rain inching closer from the radar the ocean is starting to rip here and my beer is cold ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted August 21, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 12 minutes ago, MikeD said: Sitting on the beach in north wildwood just had 2 large claps of thunder sky's are ominous rain inching closer from the radar the ocean is starting to rip here and my beer is cold ! Probably time to get off the beach... but thankfully your beer is cold !! 😂😂 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockchops Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 incoming! We have quite a bit of sun and humidity here, I wouldnt be surprised if these kick up some rumbles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 This is the worst looking tropical system I’ve ever seen. Not buying the HRRR’s depiction of the PRE as it’s largely on its own but we’ll see. Otherwise hot and sticky out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACwx Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Looking at current radar, it's way closer to the HRRR valid at 6PM than it is to the NAM3km valid at 6PM. Doesn't mean the HRRR is going to be right later on, but if I had to choose then I'd rather side with HRRR than other meso models at this point. I'm on the very northern fringe at the moment. OC looks like it's getting walloped. Wildwood looks almost totally dry which is convenient since I think there's a country festival going on there this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted August 21, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 22 minutes ago, Colin said: This is the worst looking tropical system I’ve ever seen. Not buying the HRRR’s depiction of the PRE as it’s largely on its own but we’ll see. Otherwise hot and sticky out. It’s not a PRE. It’s an inverted trough. And take a look at radar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, irishbri74 said: It’s not a PRE. It’s an inverted trough. And take a look at radar Looks like it’s coming together now a bit but I have my doubts it will be as prolific as the HRRR shows given other models. We’ll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Interesting. We shall see. HRRR has been very consistent that’s for sure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshb32689 Posted August 21, 2021 Report Share Posted August 21, 2021 Rainbow before the storm here in Delco 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frankdp23 Posted August 22, 2021 Report Share Posted August 22, 2021 Rough ocean in Corolla NC 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Posted August 22, 2021 Report Share Posted August 22, 2021 Latest HRRR much weaker with the rain it’s been suggesting all day. Horrible model Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACwx Posted August 22, 2021 Report Share Posted August 22, 2021 WPC's take on the heavy rain threat. Would be interesting to know the last time we've been in a Moderate risk for that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted August 22, 2021 Report Share Posted August 22, 2021 21 minutes ago, Colin said: Latest HRRR much weaker with the rain it’s been suggesting all day. Horrible model Yeah I’ve seen it do that in the winter too. It will have run after run showing something and out of nowhere one run just adjusts big time. Makes it hard to trust at all. I don’t enjoy looking at it for snowstorms. It’s a pro rug-puller. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Posted August 22, 2021 Report Share Posted August 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Heisenberg said: Yeah I’ve seen it do that in the winter too. It will have run after run showing something and out of nowhere one run just adjusts big time. Makes it hard to trust at all. I don’t enjoy looking at it for snowstorms. It’s a pro rug-puller. Yup. During the winter i actually prefer the HRRR to not show my area getting hit hard 😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockchops Posted August 22, 2021 Report Share Posted August 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Joshb32689 said: Rainbow before the storm here in Delco Wow!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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