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OBS: February 18th, 19th Wintry Precipitation Event, Paging Chumbawamba, Paging Chumbawamba


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Thunderstorms will never ever ever ever ever ever come close to the scenery of a snow covered landscape with a sun set 

Just got an email from Shutterfly with the “memories from this day last year”. Couldn’t be any more different. Grass was starting to green up, my gardens were all cleaned up and getting ready for mulc

This guy showed up just after I posted  

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6 minutes ago, Birdtown2 said:

Moderate snow 26 radar drying up to my SW Though. Added.05 ice over night.10 sleet & and .8 new snow since 6:00 adding up 

Nice to end this event with some REALSNOW or ALLSNOW (hey buddy)

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Just now, Allsnow said:

Haha. Wish we had today’s growth with yesterday’s precipitation 

I hear ya. If I didn't love my screen name so much I'd change it to IHATESLEET

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Regardless of what the KPHL number ends up at, everyone here did a great job at identifying the banding potential and close call over I-95. There will be a 6"+ gradient across Philadelphia county with this. Could have ended up a few miles in either direction easily.

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2 minutes ago, hm2 said:

Regardless of what the KPHL number ends up at, everyone here did a great job at identifying the banding potential and close call over I-95. There will be a 6"+ gradient across Philadelphia county with this. Could have ended up a few miles in either direction easily.

That makes me feel better. Unfortunately I placed the airport in Chesnut Hill.

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1 minute ago, Chubbs said:

That makes me feel better. Unfortunately I placed the airport in Chesnut Hill.

The people that took the under because "it's philly" will seem vindicated. I also saw pros rationalize that you should never underestimate the warm nose. They will also feel vindicated. But the reality is, that was a close one...closer than they will ever admit. Also, the idea that this would continue to shift NW because "that's the seasonal trend," was also put to bed. Models honed the SE PA / C NJ corridor in the short term as best as they could.

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2 minutes ago, hm2 said:

The people that took the under because "it's philly" will seem vindicated. I also saw pros rationalize that you should never underestimate the warm nose. They will also feel vindicated. But the reality is, that was a close one...closer than they will ever admit. Also, the idea that this would continue to shift NW because "that's the seasonal trend," was also put to bed. Models honed the SE PA / C NJ corridor in the short term as best as they could.

I am going to date myself and blame the fickle finger of fate.

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5 minutes ago, hm2 said:

The people that took the under because "it's philly" will seem vindicated. I also saw pros rationalize that you should never underestimate the warm nose. They will also feel vindicated. But the reality is, that was a close one...closer than they will ever admit. Also, the idea that this would continue to shift NW because "that's the seasonal trend," was also put to bed. Models honed the SE PA / C NJ corridor in the short term as best as they could.

The soundings/warm nose were not much different from the December high bust. We just lacked a little more at 500mb this time, and that was enough to have more mixing involved. At least, that's my guess. Dec had a well defined wave whereas this time we were basically under a ridge with sufficient channelized vorticity/wind convergence for omega.

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12 minutes ago, hm2 said:

The people that took the under because "it's philly" will seem vindicated. I also saw pros rationalize that you should never underestimate the warm nose. They will also feel vindicated. But the reality is, that was a close one...closer than they will ever admit. Also, the idea that this would continue to shift NW because "that's the seasonal trend," was also put to bed. Models honed the SE PA / C NJ corridor in the short term as best as they could.

100%. There will always be a difference between density at sea level and suburbs above the fall line. But not a we-outsnow-you-three-to-one-every-time difference. It is true that this year has featured some nasty warm noses (it is still sleeting here, in fact, well past 10 AM). But the bigger reality is that aside from December PHL has just been very unlucky with banding placement* this year. 

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