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February 18th Wintry Precipitation Event, Paging Chumbawamba, Paging Chumbawamba


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first call. Inside black line zone amounts up to 10"  

Looks like our typical storm run backwards

Here's my complete wild guess map for the storm.  

Posted Images

I would use the 546 line as your changeover. Euro gets that very close to Philly by 18z then past them by 21z. 18z they get a little over .4 in that 6hr time period. 

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3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

I would use the 546 line as your changeover. Euro gets that very close to Philly by 18z then past them by 21z. 18z they get a little over .4 in that 6hr time period. 

Kuchie looks to be a good indicator of that 

38076772-443B-4326-B8E0-BF65D77C46A2.png

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26 minutes ago, susqushawn said:

I played all of 3 rounds last year and blew out a shoulder.  And turned 40.  Does that mean I am relinquished to the pickleball court?

you can probably out drive us one-handed. My golf score hasn't changed much in decades, only the color of the tee box.

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6 minutes ago, hm2 said:

Feel free to PM me your guess if you don't have Twitter. Good luck!

 

 

Ooooooh.  Operators are standing by.

Anyway I am here to confuse the issue.  I think Heisy posted the snow panel earlier.  Next generation version 3 did not update today.

Edit I really confuse the issue by hiding the legend. Dark blue is 4-6"; green is 6-8".

snsns.JPG.8b2d01b5a31ecbc18712799fac637122.JPG

ff.JPG

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4 minutes ago, Rainshadow6.6 said:

Ooooooh.  Operators are standing by.

Anyway I am here to confuse the issue.  I think Heisy posted the snow panel earlier.  Next generation version 3 did not update today.

Edit I really confuse the issue by hiding the legend. Dark blue is 4-6"; green is 6-8".

snsns.JPG.8b2d01b5a31ecbc18712799fac637122.JPG

ff.JPG

We've got a convective latent heat machine down there. The HREF will be our friend tonight....lol gulp hopefully

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3 minutes ago, Heisenberg said:

Hey not sure if you posted, but what did the 18z NAM have for ratios etc? 

6.4" at phl 11:1. PNE, ILG and TTN all similar

Over 5" by 10AM, snow/sleet mix 10-2

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4 minutes ago, hm2 said:

We've got a convective latent heat machine down there. The HREF will be our friend tonight....lol gulp hopefully

Near their EOR but HRRR and RAP both look good so far

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2 minutes ago, Heisenberg said:

00z NAM man is Philly riding the line here...images forthcoming 

it's colder than 18z thickness wise, it continues to correct with its ridic h7 jet. Ever since last night it has corrected weaker and less qpf with each run and shift south

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Just now, tombo82685 said:

it's colder than 18z, it continues to correct with its ridic h7 jet. Ever since last night it has corrected weaker and less qpf with each run and shift south

It looks warmer at 850 to start. Idk if I buy that. 

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Just now, Heisenberg said:

It looks warmer at 850 to start. Idk if I buy that. 

I meant Thickness wise it's colder. Its not as jacked up, you can see it in the LLJ 

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