tombo82685 Posted May 8, 2014 Report Share Posted May 8, 2014 Adam, I expect your thoughts for the season in here by Memorial Day. Breakdown of tropical storms, hurricanes, how many major, landfalls. Sincerely, me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted May 8, 2014 Report Share Posted May 8, 2014 9/4/1 but with an east coast threat in August 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 9, 2014 Author Report Share Posted May 9, 2014 Is their an MJO phase that enhances tropical activity? I would assume any phase when there is an east coast ridge with bermuda high increases the threat of a strike? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted May 9, 2014 Report Share Posted May 9, 2014 Tropical activity is highest when the mjo is in p2 or p3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchg Posted May 12, 2014 Report Share Posted May 12, 2014 I'd say below normal based on the upcoming nino. Modeled SST in the tropical Atlantic aren't inspiring either for an active season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 13, 2014 Author Report Share Posted May 13, 2014 Adam, In Nino years do we get an early season storm usually or are they usually during peak season? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted May 13, 2014 Report Share Posted May 13, 2014 Ninos are notorious for early season activity. By peak season, the walker cell just shears everything to bits Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted May 15, 2014 Report Share Posted May 15, 2014 At least the EPAC season should be on fire. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 9/4/1 but with an east coast threat in August Bump Adam, I'm curious to know if you still think an East Coast impact is in the cards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 Bump Adam, I'm curious to know if you still think an East Coast impact is in the cards. If the SAL dies down, the H5 pattern will be conducive for a threat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 3, 2014 Author Report Share Posted November 3, 2014 Adam your thoughts on this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baseball0618 Posted November 3, 2014 Report Share Posted November 3, 2014 That is the nastiest looking cyclone I have ever seen. Would hate to be in the upper right quad of that! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted November 3, 2014 Report Share Posted November 3, 2014 That is the nastiest looking cyclone I have ever seen. Would hate to be in the upper right quad of that! You don't recall Haiyan do ya? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted November 3, 2014 Report Share Posted November 3, 2014 9/4/1 but with an east coast threat in August I'll take it. 9/6/2. EC threat never really materialized. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baseball0618 Posted November 4, 2014 Report Share Posted November 4, 2014 How quickly we forget when they are 1000's of miles away! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 15, 2014 Report Share Posted November 15, 2014 Based on this, next year's outlook looks like it should be 2, 1, 0. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 15, 2014 Author Report Share Posted November 15, 2014 Based on this, next year's outlook looks like it should be 2, 1, 0. nino34Mon.gif lol yikes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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