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Winter storm threats (day 5 and beyond)III


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1 minute ago, susqushawn said:

we don't get surface southerly flow despite the HP lobe that follows initial confluence to the SE out to sea....the HP lobe to our N maintains enough influence at least for precip onset

gfs_mslp_wind_eus_31.png

850's ehh

gfs_T850_eus_31.png

Still need to see some earlier redevelopment further south. But good changes aloft early on. Baby steps?? 

E43F9A20-59E9-428D-BD78-6C1953FD46A1.png

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Just now, irishbri74 said:

Still need to see some earlier redevelopment further south. But good changes aloft early on. Baby steps?? 

E43F9A20-59E9-428D-BD78-6C1953FD46A1.png

yeah for sure, it's not perfect, but cold is close by if surface track stays flat like that.  any coastal redevelopment with primary decay will only help lock it in

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