tombo82685 Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Discussion on storms from day 5 onward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Guess the 18z gfs killed off the old thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chubbs said: Guess the 18z gfs killed off the old thread over 55 pages, needed to start a new thread, maybe with it will bring some better luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 If Dec ends up being our biggest storm of the winter I'm moving to the Tughill Plateau with tombo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, susqushawn said: If Dec ends up being our biggest storm of the winter I'm moving to the Tughill Plateau with tombo Haha. We will get another 6+ event this month. We scored last month in a pattern that was okay for two days. We are talking about a favorable Atlantic and pac for 15-20 days. It will probably be a storm we aren’t even focusing on currently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 A little further north thru 78 on Euro fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACwx Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, susqushawn said: If Dec ends up being our biggest storm of the winter I'm moving to the Tughill Plateau with tombo I thought about that, then I realized that storm brought 22 times as much snow as Philly had all last winter, so it could always be worse haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, ACwx said: I thought about that, then I realized that storm brought 22 times as much snow as Philly had all last winter, so it could always be worse haha I have no complaints over what's coming. 100x better than all of last winter already indeed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 12z vs 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 Our friendly vort looks less impressive on this run too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 5, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Mitchnick said: Our friendly vort looks less impressive on this run too I'm sure instead of .08 on the eps total qpf at 12z for philly, this run will go .09 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, tombo82685 said: I'm sure in stead of .08 on the eps total qpf for philly this run will go .09 You really think it'll be that much? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 Looks like a 4th quarter substitution coming onto the field this run too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: I'm sure instead of .08 on the eps total qpf at 12z for philly, this run will go .09 50/50 was weaker/tad East Probably why it ticked north but that lobe is still coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: 50/50 was weaker/tad East Probably why it ticked north but that lobe is still coming Yep. Just gotta string a few of these minor tweaks in a row over the next 24 hours, and then we're talking. See the damage 1/25/00 did to me? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, Mitchnick said: Yep. Just gotta string a few of these minor tweaks in a row over the next 24 hours, and then we're talking. See the damage 1/25/00 did to me? Haha. 1/25/00 went from nothing to 1-2ft to 6-8 in a matter of 24 hours here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 5, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 50/50 was weaker/tad East Probably why it ticked north but that lobe is still coming Yea, there was a bit better ridging out ahead in response to what you said. That’s why I said we will go from .08 to .09 lol cause that crushing vort is there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisenberg Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 1/25/2000 was the year before I got into the hobby. Meaning I wasn’t in the wx community yet...I only remember twc saying new data was coming in and the radar looked great. I left for a wwf event down town, came home to a wsw 6-12 I think. Curious, we’re you guys looking at the models back then? What was the story? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 The Pacific energy is starting to come ashore this eve, so would like to see improvement on 00z and 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: 1/25/2000 was the year before I got into the hobby. Meaning I wasn’t in the wx community yet...I only remember twc saying new data was coming in and the radar looked great. I left for a wwf event down town, came home to a wsw 6-12 I think. Curious, we’re you guys looking at the models back then? What was the story? I was just getting started on weather boards. Think it was Wright Weather. I don't remember the modeling details other than the models gave a couple of head feints but ended up offshore going in. We had one or two savvy posters, who diagnosed a stronger wave off Florida from observation. That was the start, and it cascaded up the coast, as excitement built. That was the one eve when weenie radar posts meant something. Echoes in NC were moving due north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 17 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: 1/25/2000 was the year before I got into the hobby. Meaning I wasn’t in the wx community yet...I only remember twc saying new data was coming in and the radar looked great. I left for a wwf event down town, came home to a wsw 6-12 I think. Curious, we’re you guys looking at the models back then? What was the story? I have this great link to a study that was done, but it's on my desktop at the office, I think. I'll get it to you tomorrow, assuming I don't have it on my home computer. It's got computer runs and obs. It's great fodder for any weenie who experienced the storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I'd feel pretty good if I lived in S De 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 Look, I did everyone a favor and asked the good people at the Euro if it would snow imby this weekend. I told them, no special forecast just give me a thumbs up or down. Sure enough, it's a "Thumb's Up!" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchnick Posted January 5, 2021 Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 47 minutes ago, Heisenberg said: 1/25/2000 was the year before I got into the hobby. Meaning I wasn’t in the wx community yet...I only remember twc saying new data was coming in and the radar looked great. I left for a wwf event down town, came home to a wsw 6-12 I think. Curious, we’re you guys looking at the models back then? What was the story? Here you go. Great info on the storm here. https://projects.ncsu.edu/atmos_collaboration/nwsfo/storage/cases/20000125/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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