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Fay 7/10 Observations


Rainshadow
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Astronomical tides going into today relatively low, also lower of the two high tide cycles coming up this morning.  That being said, tides are already above normal.

For the 45,687th time and this is known by and complained up the chain incessantly by all field offices to no avail, I can't get much out of Mt. Holly's links already this morning.

 

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Winds are gusting up to near 40 mph here in Sea Isle City NJ with very heavy rain.....plenty of flooding with water up to near the top of the wheels of cars back toward the bay....will post a couple videos shortly. I have not checked the coco gauge yet but a nearby neighbor as already recorded over 2.50" so far
 

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18 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

Good lord lol. Yea I see didn’t expect something like that lol. 

Yeah, if you look at other models like the RGEM and HRDPS they paint a similar (yet less robust) maximum where all that tropical moisture basically hits a wall and gets wrung out over SEPA. Hopefully that does not happen. 

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7 minutes ago, Parsley said:

Yeah, if you look at other models like the RGEM and HRDPS they paint a similar (yet less robust) maximum where all that tropical moisture basically hits a wall and gets wrung out over SEPA. Hopefully that does not happen.

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It’s basically like your winter time deform band on western side around the pivot 

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4 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

It’s basically like your winter time deform band on western side around the pivot 

Yeah, I mean rain reports down in DE support 5+" totals...really hoping it doesn't happen somewhere in eastern PA.

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Meanwhile, if NJ can find a way to get out of the heaviest rain band (if it sets up shop further west with the pivot)...then squally, convection with potentially sunny breaks could becoming a story closer to the coast.

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