Rainshadow Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 ...Mid Atlantic region... A corridor of low to mid 60s F dewpoints will persist east of the higher terrain and along southern periphery of belt of modest westerlies. By early to mid afternoon, MLCAPE from 1500 to 2000 J/kg is expected from VA and MD into southern PA and NJ. Storms are expected to develop over the higher terrain and along lee trough as the boundary layer destabilizes. Vertical shear will remain weak, but 25-35 kt deep layer flow will support storms spreading east off the higher terrain, possibly evolving into loosely organized clusters capable of strong to damaging wind gusts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 3k nam has most the action after 0z. Didn’t do well at all yesterday. Maybe it can redeem itself today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 ARW was closest yesterday, here's what it portrays for today: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 Storms seem to come in after dark, I wonder what is sustaining the updrafts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 3 hours ago, susqushawn said: Storms seem to come in after dark, I wonder what is sustaining the updrafts There’s still instability in the region, as well as some decent embedded vorticity.. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mshaffer526 Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 #justberksthings 😁 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowx Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 Just a beautiful day down at the Jersey Shore in Sea Isle City NJ....I don't think I have ever seen the beach so crowded on a weekday in June before! Wondering if the fact folks are not tied to their kids being in class in getting a lot more folks to show up on the beaches of NJ much earlier than normal....let's hope so!. It briefly touched 80 degrees around noon on the beaches but most of the PM was spent in the low 70's down to 70 degrees now while 6 miles inland they swelter at 86 degrees....back in East Nantmeal we are still without power.....would be a tough day without AC back there with temps topping out at 83.8 with high humidity. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
susqushawn Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 outside a few isolated svr cells, this looks like a heavy rain threat and your typical garden variety storms for later on. PWATS are surging out ahead of this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mshaffer526 Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 That is one hell of a hail core south of York. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mshaffer526 Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 Incoming... Something tells me we will beat the paltry 24" we had yesterday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 4, 2020 Report Share Posted June 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, mshaffer526 said: Incoming... Something tells me we will beat the paltry 24" we had yesterday should weaken some, to much stratiform rain out ahead to hold that intensity 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 Missed me by that much. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, cbelke said: Missed me by that much. cue the Yawn gif for me please Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 Just now, tombo82685 said: cue the Yawn gif for me please 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 What are the thoughts on rain fall overnight? Enough to wash away the mulch I just put down tonight? PWAT's looked to be 1.5" - 2". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 5 minutes ago, cbelke said: What are the thoughts on rain fall overnight? Enough to wash away the mulch I just put down tonight? PWAT's looked to be 1.5" - 2". If you get under any slow moving storm or something that trains then yea it could. But generally I’d say you’re fine. Tomorrow into tomorrow night looks like better chance of heavy rains as pwats increase more 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mshaffer526 Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 I assume we are likely to be back in the Slight category tomorrow? Nevermind.... Marginal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 Let’s see what the dc-Balt stuff does Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 earlier tonight 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mshaffer526 Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 14 minutes ago, irishbri74 said: Let’s see what the dc-Balt stuff does Yup. I am watching the line that is trying to form along the M/D line. This stuff has taken a more decidedly NE turn as the night has progressed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 14 minutes ago, mshaffer526 said: Yup. I am watching the line that is trying to form along the M/D line. This stuff has taken a more decidedly NE turn as the night has progressed. Nice summer eve: full moon to the SE and frequent lighning SW 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mshaffer526 Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 Great storm. A ton of lightning and heavy rain. This is probably anecdotal but it always seems like the thunder/lightning is better at night. Yesterday's severe event was less enjoyable than this. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted June 5, 2020 Report Share Posted June 5, 2020 Incoming! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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