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Final Wrap-Up: Back & Better Than Ever The GFS Forecasting 100 Or Greater Thread For 2020. Euro No Way Going Thru Life, Out GFSing The GFS Within 10 Days.


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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 & 7/12

7/2/12z.................102F on 7/17, Yummo 80F dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 & 101F on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15, 101F on 7/16 & 7/17

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 & 102F on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 & 100F on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F on 7/17 & 101F on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 & 7/13 (GFS, a pair of 90s)

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (GFS, 94F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 & 7/11

6/30/00z.............99F on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 & 7/15

7/3/12z................99F on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F on 7/17, 7/18 & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F on 7/17, Yummo 80F dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15, 101F on 7/16 & 7/17

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 & 102F on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 & 100F on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F on 7/17 & 101F on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s=  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (GFS, 94F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F (91F) on 7/12 & 7/15

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F on 7/17, 7/18 & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

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Good job GFS, good job.

Kicking-the-can.jpg.c43358d7610e4e1aa151b511871b1444.jpg

 

GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F on 7/17, Yummo 80F dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 & 7/17

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 & 100F on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F on 7/17 & 101F on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s=  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (GFS, 94F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F on 7/17, 7/18 & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F on

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F on 7/17, Yummo 80F dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 & 7/17

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 & 100F on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F on 7/17 & 101F on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s=  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (GFS, 94F)

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87).  There is a pattern here.....

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F on 7/17, 7/18 & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F on

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16 (83F)

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s=  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (90F) (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87).  There is a pattern here.....

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99f on 7/30

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16 (83F)

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s=  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (90F) (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87).  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F on 7/28 (GFS, 82F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F on 7/30

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16 (83F)

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s=  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (90F) (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87).  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F on 7/28 (GFS, 82F)

7/19/12z........100F on 7/26 (GFS, 85F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F on 7/30

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16 (83F)

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s,  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (90F) (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87)  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F on 7/28 (GFS, 82F)

7/19/12z........100F on 7/26 (GFS, 85F)

7/20/00z........103F on 7/27, 102F on 7/28 & 103F on 7/29   (GFS 91F, 93F & 97F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F on 7/30

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16 (83F)

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s,  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (90F) (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87)  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F on 7/28 (GFS, 82F)

7/19/12z........100F on 7/26 (GFS, 85F)

7/20/00z........103F on 7/27, 102F on 7/28 & 103F on 7/29   (GFS 91F, 93F & 97F)

7/20/12z........100F on 7/28 (GFS, 97F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F on 7/30

7/20/12z...............99F on 7/31

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 annnnnd 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 (at least only a 68F dew point)

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F on 7/16 (83F)

7/6/12z.................100F on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F (96F) on 7/20 and 100F on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s,  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (90F) (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87)  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F on 7/28 (GFS, 82F)

7/19/12z........100F on 7/26 (GFS, 85F)

7/20/00z........103F on 7/27, 102F on 7/28 & 103F on 7/29   (GFS 91F, 93F & 97F)

7/20/12z........100F on 7/28 (GFS, 97F)

7/21/12z........100F on 7/27 (GFS, 92F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F (96F) on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 (96F) & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F on 7/22

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F on 7/30

7/20/12z...............99F on 7/31

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 and 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F (83F) on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F (95F) on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 (94F) & 101F on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21 (95F)

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F (96F) on 7/20 and 100F (95F) on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s,  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (90F) (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87)  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F on 7/28 (GFS, 82F)

7/19/12z........100F on 7/26 (GFS, 85F)

7/20/00z........103F on 7/27, 102F on 7/28 & 103F on 7/29   (GFS 91F, 93F & 97F)

7/20/12z........100F on 7/28 (GFS, 97F)

7/21/12z........100F on 7/27 (GFS, 92F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F (96F) on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 (96F) & 7/23

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (95F) (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F (94F) on 7/22 

7/10/06z...............99F on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F on 7/30

7/20/12z...............99F on 7/31

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Comparing apples to apples (well next week has not happened yet) the ECMWF has been more 100 happy than the GFS.  Most of the GFS's 100 forecasts have been in la la la land.

Day 10 and sooner the Euro has forecast 100 degrees eighteen times, while the GFS has forecast 100 degrees five times.

 

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 and 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F (83F) on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F (95F) on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 (94F) & 101F (91F) on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F (91F) on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21 (95F)

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F (96F) on 7/20 and 100F (95F) on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F (89F) on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F (89F) on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F on 7/26

7/25/12z...............100F on 8/9

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s,  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F on 7/17  (90F) (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87)  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F on 7/28 (GFS, 82F)

7/19/12z........100F on 7/26 (GFS, 85F)

7/20/00z........103F on 7/27, 102F on 7/28 & 103F on 7/29   (GFS 91F, 93F & 97F)

7/20/12z........100F on 7/28 (GFS, 97F)

7/21/12z........100F on 7/27 (GFS, 92F)

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F (96F) on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 (96F) & 7/23 (91F)

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (95F) (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F (94F) on 7/22 

7/10/06z...............99F (86F) on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F (86F) on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F on 7/30

7/20/12z...............99F on 7/31

7/24/18z...............99F on 8/9

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 and 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F (83F) on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F (95F) on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 (94F) & 101F (91F) on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F (91F) on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21 (95F)

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F (96F) on 7/20 and 100F (95F) on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F (89F) on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F (89F) on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F (94F) on 7/26

7/25/12z...............100F on 8/9

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 99F  (87F)  )

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s,  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F (90F) on 7/17 (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F (94F) on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87 (94F) )  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F (93F) on 7/28 (GFS, 82F (93F) )

7/19/12z........100F (94F) on 7/26 (GFS, 85F (94F))

7/20/00z........103F (95F) on 7/27, 102F (93F) on 7/28 & 103F (93F) on 7/29   (GFS 91F (95F) , 93F (93F) & 97F (93F) )

7/20/12z........100F (93F) on 7/28 (GFS, 97F (93F) )

7/21/12z........100F (95F) on 7/27 (GFS, 92F (95F) )

 

 

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F (96F) on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 (96F) & 7/23 (91F)

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (95F) (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F (94F) on 7/22 

7/10/06z...............99F (86F) on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F (86F) on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F on 7/30

7/20/12z...............99F on 7/31

7/24/18z...............99F on 8/9

 

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Number of times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or higher:  38

Number of times ECMWF has forecast a high of 100F or higher:  18

Number of times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or higher within 10 days: 5

Number of times GFS & ECMWF forecast 100F on the same day within 10 days: 0

Number of 100 degree days at PHL: 0

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GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 and 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F (83F) on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F (95F) on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 (94F) & 101F (91F) on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F (91F) on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21 (95F)

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F (96F) on 7/20 and 100F (95F) on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F (89F) on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F (89F) on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F (94F) on 7/26

7/25/12z...............100F on 8/9

8/6/06z.................101F on 8/20

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 99F  (87F)  )

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s,  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F (90F) on 7/17 (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F (94F) on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87 (94F) )  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F (93F) on 7/28 (GFS, 82F (93F) )

7/19/12z........100F (94F) on 7/26 (GFS, 85F (94F))

7/20/00z........103F (95F) on 7/27, 102F (93F) on 7/28 & 103F (93F) on 7/29   (GFS 91F (95F) , 93F (93F) & 97F (93F) )

7/20/12z........100F (93F) on 7/28 (GFS, 97F (93F) )

7/21/12z........100F (95F) on 7/27 (GFS, 92F (95F) )

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F (96F) on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 (96F) & 7/23 (91F)

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (95F) (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F (94F) on 7/22 

7/10/06z...............99F (86F) on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F (86F) on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F (84F) on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F (95F) on 7/30

7/20/12z...............99F (84F) on 7/31

7/24/18z...............99F on 8/9

 

 

Number of times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or higher:  39

Number of times ECMWF has forecast a high of 100F or higher:  18

Number of times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or higher within 10 days: 5

Number of times GFS & ECMWF forecast 100F on the same day within 10 days: 0

Number of 100 degree days at PHL: 0

 
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On 7/8/2020 at 7:38 PM, Rainshadow5.8 said:

GFS runs like this make me wish we already moved to Williamsburg.

 

gfs_T2m_neus_34.png

gfs_T2m_neus_38.png

gfs_T2m_neus_42.png

gfs_T2m_neus_46.png

gfs_T2m_neus_50.png

Cleaning up past posts.  Newport News, VA max temps 7/16-7/20 were:  87, 96, 97, 99 & 99.

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  • 1 month later...

GFS

6/8/12z.............100F (90F) on 6/23.

6/10/18z...........101F (89F) on 6/22 and 80F (68F at max temp) dew point.

6/19/12z............100F on 6/30 (86F) & 7/1 (87F).

6/19/18z............100F (90F) on 6/29 (with 87F (60F at max temp) dew point), 102F (86F) on 6/30 & 100F (87F) on 7/1.

6/20/12z.............102F (93F) on 7/2 and a lovely 81F (60F at max temp) dew point.

6/28/12z.............103F (90F) on 7/11 

6/29/12z..............100F (91F) on 7/12

6/30/00z..............100F (90F) on 7/11

7/1/00z.................100F on 7/11 (90F) & 7/12 (91F)

7/2/12z.................102F (90F) on 7/17, Yummo 80F (70F) dew point.

7/3/00z.................102F on 7/13 (88F) & 101F (87F) on 7/14

7/3/18z................104F on 7/15 (89F) , 101F on 7/16 (83F) & 7/17 (90F)

7/4/06z................101F on 7/15 (89F) & 102F (83F) on 7/16

7/4/12z................101F on 7/16 (83F) & 100F (95F) on 7/19

7/5/06z................100F (83F) on 7/16

7/6/12z.................100F (95F) on 7/21

7/8/06z................100F on 7/22 (94F) & 101F (91F) on 7/23

7/8/12z................100F (90F) on 7/17 & 101F (93F) on 7/18

7/8/18z................100F (91F) on 7/23

7/9/00z................100F on 7/21 (95F)

7/9/06z.................100F (95F) on 7/19, 101F (96F) on 7/20 and 100F (95F) on 7/21

7/10/06z...............101F (89F) on 7/25

7/11/12z...............100F (89F) on 7/25

7/15/12z...............100F (94F) on 7/26

7/25/12z...............100F (88F) on 8/9

8/6/06z.................101F (82F) on 8/20

 

Euro

6/14/00z.......100F (89F) on 6/22 (This is a first, GFS only 92F (89F) )

6/22/00z.......101F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 99F  (87F)  )

6/22/12z.......105F (87F) on 7/1 (GFS 79F (87F) )

6/29/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

6/30/00z.......100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

6/30/12z........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 95F (97F) )

7/1/00z..........100F (97F) on 7/3 (GFS 92F (97F) )

7/4/00z..........101F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/13 (88F) (GFS, a pair of 90s,  (91F)(88F) )

7/8/00z..........103F (90F) on 7/17 (GFS, 94F (90F) )

7/18/00z........100F (94F) on 7/26 (day 9, interesting)   (GFS, 87 (94F) )  There is a pattern here.....

7/19/00z........101F (93F) on 7/28 (GFS, 82F (93F) )

7/19/12z........100F (94F) on 7/26 (GFS, 85F (94F))

7/20/00z........103F (95F) on 7/27, 102F (93F) on 7/28 & 103F (93F) on 7/29   (GFS 91F (95F) , 93F (93F) & 97F (93F) )

7/20/12z........100F (93F) on 7/28 (GFS, 97F (93F) )

7/21/12z........100F (95F) on 7/27 (GFS, 92F (95F) )

 

Honorable GFS Mentions

6/20/00z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/21/12z............99F (93F) on 7/2

6/22/00z............99F (89F) on 6/30

6/28/18z.............99F (90F) on 7/11

6/29/00z.............99F on 7/10 (78F) & 7/11 (90F)

6/30/00z.............99F (87F) on 7/14

7/1/06z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/1/18z................99F (91F) on 7/12

7/3/00z................99F on 7/12 (91F) & 7/15 (89F)

7/3/12z................99F (88F) on 7/13.

7/3/18z................99F (87F) on 7/14

7/4/12z................99F (89F) on 7/15

7/6/12z.................99F (96F) on 7/20

7/6/18z.................99F (90F) on 7/17

7/9/00z.................99F (90F) on 7/17,  7/20 (96F) & 7/23 (91F)

7/9/06z.................99F (90F) on 7/17, 7/18 (93F) & 7/21 (95F) (Six consecutive days of 99F or higher)

7/9/12z.................99F (94F) on 7/22 

7/10/06z...............99F (86F) on 7/24

7/11/12z...............99F (86F) on 7/24

7/12/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/16/18z...............99F (95F) on 7/21

7/17/00z...............99F (84F) on 7/31

7/18/06z...............99F (95F) on 7/30

7/20/12z...............99F (84F) on 7/31

7/24/18z...............99F (88F) on 8/9

 

 

Number of times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or higher:  39

Number of times ECMWF has forecast a high of 100F or higher:  18

Number of times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or higher within 10 days: 5

Number of times GFS & ECMWF forecast 100F on the same day within 10 days: 0

Number of 100 degree days at PHL: 0

 
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Number of times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or higher:  39

Actual number of highs 90F or higher:  22

 

Number of times ECMWF has forecast a high of 100F or higher:  18

Actual number of highs 90F or higher: 15

 

Number of times GFS has forecast a high of 100F or higher within 10 days: 5

Actual number of highs 90F or higher: 4

 

Number of times GFS & ECMWF forecast 100F on the same day within 10 days: 0

 

Number of 100 degree days at PHL: 0

 

Just some final thoughts for this year on this.  Fay changed the landscape. Prior to Fay modeling 2M temp forecasts were underperforming (our high for the year 97F, barring something Denverish from here on out), after that not any longer.

As much as the GFS goes on these extreme tangents, the Euro being worse than the GFS within 10 days was disappointing.  Both models were close inside of 10 days with guaranteeing a 90F (80% or 83%) on the day they forecast 100F or more.

New GFS next summer, probably new euro so these rules of thumb need not apply (Tom noticed one).  If the GFS is not buying the Euro's heat, forgetaboutit. If both models are not forecasting 100F for the same day, it may not work.  GFS 100F forecasts in la la land (>10 days), you barely have a greater than 50% chance that it will be right of it even reaching 90F.

Onto Barney....

 

 

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