Rainshadow Posted May 17, 2020 Report Share Posted May 17, 2020 Well, if you throw enough stuff at the wall, some of it will eventually stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2020 Take it with a whole salt mine. The end of its 00z ensemble run (the start of summer) the EPS looks the coolest, the GEFS in the middle and the GEPS actually the warmest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 19, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 19, 2020 We take: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACwx Posted May 19, 2020 Report Share Posted May 19, 2020 56 minutes ago, Rainshadow5.8 said: We take: 16-day total precip of 0.61"...may be too early for these thoughts, but I'm just throwing it out there: is there reason to be concerned about a drought this summer? It has been a dry month so far and looks to be pretty dry for the next couple of weeks, and there's still a decent chance of La Nina developing soon, which I believe would bring hot / dry weather to the eastern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 19, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 19, 2020 7 hours ago, ACwx said: 16-day total precip of 0.61"...may be too early for these thoughts, but I'm just throwing it out there: is there reason to be concerned about a drought this summer? It has been a dry month so far and looks to be pretty dry for the next couple of weeks, and there's still a decent chance of La Nina developing soon, which I believe would bring hot / dry weather to the eastern US. Summers are typically "dry" evapotranspiration exceeding precipitation. Also when it does rain, it pours so it doesn't exactly do that much good. We may be set up for a run at 100 this summer unless the next month or so turns wetter. I have not looked at la Nina summer climos. It just seems we have two summers now hotter than normal or way hotter than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 20, 2020 Start of June on the GFS/EPS still looks palatable after that one let's throw 90s at the wall by the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 25, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2020 On 5/17/2020 at 10:17 AM, Rainshadow5.8 said: Well, if you throw enough stuff at the wall, some of it will eventually stick. Now pretty palatable look at start of met summer and we are in skill range now. No problem with GFS not forecasting 90s, it just kicked the can to its usual beyond day 10 position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2020 Report Share Posted May 25, 2020 BARNEY!!!! He’s back again!!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2020 Report Share Posted May 25, 2020 Could possibly be a frost setup if we don’t have wind. Mighty cold 850s highs struggle to get into 60s. We will see if it holds, man I hope it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2020 Report Share Posted May 25, 2020 If we get wind, this could be the thrashing that sends the pole beans plummeting to the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 25, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2020 31 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: If we get wind, this could be the thrashing that sends the pole beans plummeting to the ground The seeds are just starting to emerge. No worries. Thank this Maypril for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2020 Report Share Posted May 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rainshadow5.8 said: The seeds are just starting to emerge. No worries. Thank this Maypril for that. Do you like Barney shots in June? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 25, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 25, 2020 Just now, tombo82685 said: Do you like Barney shots in June? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2020 Report Share Posted May 25, 2020 1 minute ago, Rainshadow5.8 said: Yes. Teee heee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 Barney is still there, beautiful. 60s for highs for start of June? Pinch me please 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 Marine flow packing more of a punch this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted May 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Chubbs said: Marine flow packing more of a punch this year Troffing begets troffing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 2 hours ago, tombo82685 said: Barney is still there, beautiful. 60s for highs for start of June? Pinch me please Record low max for 6/1 is 58, most recent day with high below 70 was 2003. Most of those 50's / 60's for highs have to be marine / rain induced, to have a westerly flow mostly sunny day in the 60's would be noteworthy. There are many record lows at Philly that have no chance of be being threatened in our current climo, the record low max for June 2nd is 49 degrees, LOL that is one of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 55 minutes ago, colonel_kurtz said: Record low max for 6/1 is 58, most recent day with high below 70 was 2003. Most of those 50's / 60's for highs have to be marine / rain induced, to have a westerly flow mostly sunny day in the 60's would be noteworthy. There are many record lows at Philly that have no chance of be being threatened in our current climo, the record low max for June 2nd is 49 degrees, LOL that is one of them. Lol good Lord, yea that would take an obscene airmass with clouds and or rain to go with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Lol good Lord, yea that would take an obscene airmass with clouds and or rain to go with it Thursday into Saturday looking very wet now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Thursday into Saturday looking very wet now yup, never underestimate a surge of tropical air coming up the coast with PWATS pushing 2" and in sum instances over that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 Euro with a casual mid 50's high next Monday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 12 minutes ago, NEchestercountydude said: Euro with a casual mid 50's high next Monday lol WE TAKE!!!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 I am glad that the name Barney has been attached to these episodes since my best dog a Jack Russel was named as such and I remember taking him out the the park just before PDSII and watching him go wild at 12 degrees. Sorry for digressing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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