Rainshadow Posted June 30, 2022 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2022 I keep on saying, it can't be worse than the current version, because as you know, when it rains in summer you typically get 0.01" every three hours. Then somehow.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Looks like this upgrade is going to try to improve upon the snow happy solutions when temperatures are marginal. Unless it is a collateral improvement because of data assimilation, no mentioned adjustments to 2m temperatures or CAT VIII hurricanes. https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/scn22-104_gfs.v16.3.0.pdf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 27, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Tomorrow, tomorrow, tomorrow… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 I can't tell by looking at it if it has been changed. Or if it has been changed at this point no big difference. It has not been "greened". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 24 Author Report Share Posted January 24 👍 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 14 Author Report Share Posted February 14 Pinch me, Tom. I never thought I'd see the day.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted March 2 Author Report Share Posted March 2 Oh maybe at least it will correct the endless hours of predicting measurable precipitation he says.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted March 19 Author Report Share Posted March 19 Scheduled to be implemented on June 13th. I did a quick read on this. It looks like most of the upgrade is going to be centered on the medium range ensembles and also the longer range outlooks that go out 46 days. The control (which was eh to me) is not going to be the only 9 km resolution ensemble member, they all are. Longer range outlooks are going to have 101 members. The OP looks like it is going to benefit from improved data assimilation, but it looks like no changes(?) to its core as of now. https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2023/upgrade-forecasts-centre-our-plans-2023-says-dg https://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/FCST/Implementation+of+IFS+Cycle+48r1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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