irishbri74 Posted October 14, 2014 Report Share Posted October 14, 2014 what's that? a Major hurricane in the ATlantic basin?? expected to reach cat 4 shortly before slowly weakening. Burmuda could be in trouble. Sunset shot: 000 WTNT33 KNHC 142035 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 500 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2014 ...GONZALO BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... ...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.2N 66.0W ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM E OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GONZALO. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR FROM SAN JUAN NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST. GONZALO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST BY LATE WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GONZALO WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GONZALO IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...NOAA BUOY 41043 LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF GONZALO REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H AND A GUST TO 56 MPH...91 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $ FORECASTER STEWART Very compact with a pinhole eye . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted October 15, 2014 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2014 Looks like an ERC about to start or just started: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 15, 2014 Report Share Posted October 15, 2014 You know this season has blown when you don't even see a single post from Adam in this lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted October 15, 2014 Report Share Posted October 15, 2014 LOL. It's going to hit Bermuda. It might be even be a major. Once the RI happened Monday, it was a pretty easy forecast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted October 15, 2014 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2014 LOL. It's going to hit Bermuda. It might be even be a major. Once the RI happened Monday, it was a pretty easy forecast. I was suprised the last cat3 + to hit bermuda was 1918 or something like that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted October 15, 2014 Report Share Posted October 15, 2014 Fabian in 2003ish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 15, 2014 Report Share Posted October 15, 2014 I didn't know legit hurricanes actually form in the Atlantic anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 16, 2014 Report Share Posted October 16, 2014 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted October 16, 2014 Author Report Share Posted October 16, 2014 Best looking 'cane in the Atlantic in years.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted October 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted October 17, 2014 @MJVentrice: Big Eye Wall Replacement cycle in #Gonzalo. Massive eye now.. supports intensification to Cat-5 but SSTs may hinder http://t.co/HI6Fn6mxW5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 17, 2014 Report Share Posted October 17, 2014 ouch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted October 18, 2014 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2014 Can't get much more of a direct hit than this: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 18, 2014 Report Share Posted October 18, 2014 thats impressive the wind that is...the rainfall is is probably wrong due to the weather station moving back and forth from the wind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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