Rainshadow Posted June 17, 2019 Report Share Posted June 17, 2019 This was a nostalgic 00z/17th run, first non stop precip in the short term and this in la la land: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 17, 2019 It was even hotter than the legacy GFS!!! (First image) Way to go FV3!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted June 17, 2019 Report Share Posted June 17, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 18, 2019 A night run bias? Lol, it is hotter than the previous run of the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 18, 2019 00z run warm hot bias? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phillyflip Posted June 18, 2019 Report Share Posted June 18, 2019 A zoomed out view of the same timeframe... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 19, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2019 It is going to be a glorious thread. Tom is stocking up on popcorn as we speak... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 20, 2019 Well no corrections to a lack of mixing issue with the legacy GFS. Look at this forecast sounding and the predicted winds. I don't know what the bump in the rug would be to correcting this, 240 consecutive hours of rain, but it is same old same old. Change the core, summer superduperadiabatic lapse rate hot bias remains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 27, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 27, 2019 Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, already wrong. 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 28, 2019 13 hours ago, Rainshadow said: Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, already wrong. 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, already wrong. 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 28, 2019 Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, already wrong. 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F on 7/6 with a 78F dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 30, 2019 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 30, 2019 Report Share Posted June 30, 2019 do you like that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 5 hours ago, tombo82685 said: do you like that? I like that it keeps me busy. Something about an idle mind...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 On 6/27/2019 at 8:29 PM, Rainshadow said: Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, already wrong. 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, actual (4) 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F on 7/6 with a 78F dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 5, 2019 06z 7/5, but it is a humid heat.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 6, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 6, 2019 Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, actual (4) 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5 (91F) ; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. 7/3-7/5 all 92F or lower. 00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18; 8 consecutive days of 98F or higher 7/13-7/20. 06z on 7/5.................100F on 7/16 with an 85F dew point. 06z on 7/6.................100F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point); 99F on 7/18 (with 83 dew point). Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F on 7/6 with a 78F dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 6, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 6, 2019 erification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, actual (4) 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5 (91F) ; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. 7/3-7/5 all 92F or lower. 00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18; 8 consecutive days of 98F or higher 7/13-7/20. 06z on 7/5.................100F on 7/16 with an 85F dew point. 06z on 7/6.................100F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point); 99F on 7/18 (with 83 dew point). Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F on 7/6 with a 78F dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. 12z on 7/6...................99F on 7/17. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 7, 2019 Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, actual (4) 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5 (91F) ; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. 7/3-7/6 all 92F or lower. 00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18; 8 consecutive days of 98F or higher 7/13-7/20. 06z on 7/5.................100F on 7/16 with an 85F dew point. 06z on 7/6.................100F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point); 99F on 7/18 (with 83 dew point). 06z on 7/7.................101F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point) Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F on 7/6 with a 78F dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. 12z on 7/6...................99F on 7/17. 18z on 7/6...................99F on 7/21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 8, 2019 Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, actual (4) 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5 (91F) ; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. 7/3-7/7: 90, 92, 91, 90, 87 00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18; 8 consecutive days of 98F or higher 7/13-7/20. 06z on 7/5.................100F on 7/16 with an 85F dew point. 06z on 7/6.................100F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point); 99F on 7/18 (with 83 dew point). 06z on 7/7.................101F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point) 00z on 7/8..................100F on 7/18 & 7/19; 99F on 7/17. Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F on 7/6 with a 78F dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. 12z on 7/6...................99F on 7/17. 18z on 7/6...................99F on 7/21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted July 8, 2019 Report Share Posted July 8, 2019 On 7/5/2019 at 8:10 AM, Rainshadow said: 06z 7/5, but it is a humid heat.... Aw, a 133 degree heat index isn't that bad. All we need to do is spray all buildings with liquid nitrogen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 8, 2019 3 hours ago, snowlurker said: Aw, a 133 degree heat index isn't that bad. All we need to do is spray all buildings with liquid nitrogen. At least PHL is avoiding the 80F dew point over Paul's house, this day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 9, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, actual (4) 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5 (91F) ; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. 7/3-7/7: 90, 92, 91, 90, 87 00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18; 8 consecutive days of 98F or higher 7/13-7/20. 06z on 7/5.................100F on 7/16 with an 85F dew point. 06z on 7/6.................100F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point); 99F on 7/18 (with 83F dew point). 06z on 7/7.................101F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point) 00z on 7/8..................100F on 7/18 & 7/19; 99F on 7/17. 18z on 7/8..................100F on 7/24 00z or 06z 7/9 there will be some, maybe on both if we get a "good" run. Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F (90F) on 7/6 with a 78F (72F) dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. 12z on 7/6...................99F on 7/17. 18z on 7/6...................99F on 7/21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 9, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 9 hours ago, Rainshadow said: Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, actual (4) 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5 (91F) ; 7/3-7/7 all 95 or higher. 7/3-7/7: 90, 92, 91, 90, 87 00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18; 8 consecutive days of 98F or higher 7/13-7/20. 06z on 7/5.................100F on 7/16 with an 85F dew point. 06z on 7/6.................100F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point); 99F on 7/18 (with 83F dew point). 06z on 7/7.................101F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point) 00z on 7/8..................100F on 7/18 & 7/19; 99F on 7/17. 18z on 7/8..................100F on 7/24 00z or 06z 7/9 there will be some, maybe on both if we get a "good" run. Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F (90F) on 7/6 with a 78F (72F) dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. 12z on 7/6...................99F on 7/17. 18z on 7/6...................99F on 7/21 Thank you 06z GFS for not disappointing. Nothing like being hotter than the legacy GFS, you go model!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 9, 2019 Author Report Share Posted July 9, 2019 Verification in parentheses 00z on 6/17................100F (92F) on 6/27; 9 consecutive days of 90+ 6/24-7/2, actual (4) 00z on 6/27...............101F on 7/5 (91F) ; 7/3-7/7 all 95F or higher. 7/3-7/7: 90F, 92F, 91F, 90F, 87F 00z on 7/5.................100F on 7/18; 8 consecutive days of 98F or higher 7/13-7/20. 06z on 7/5.................100F on 7/16 with an 85F dew point. 06z on 7/6.................100F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point); 99F on 7/18 (with 83F dew point). 06z on 7/7.................101F on 7/17 (with 82F dew point) 00z on 7/8..................100F on 7/18 & 7/19; 99F on 7/17. 18z on 7/8..................100F on 7/24 06z on 7/9...................101F on 7/20 with an 84F dew point; 99F on 7/21 with an 81 dew point. 5 days of 97F+ 7/18-7/22. Honorable mentions 06z on 6/28.................99F (90F) on 7/6 with a 78F (72F) dew point at 2 pm in the afternoon. 12z on 7/6...................99F on 7/17 18z on 7/6...................99F on 7/21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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