tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2014 Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 Well looks like the first noreaster of the season is upon us. Post your obs and rainfall totals here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted September 24, 2014 Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 Where is the 850 0 line? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 Based off 0z run NAM: PHL 1.9 ABE 1.3 ACY 2.12 GFS: PHL .32 ABE .01 ACY 1.73 EURO: PHL .75-1 ABE .75-1 ACY .5-.75 GGEM: PHL .5 ABE .01-.1 ACY 1 SREF: PHL 1 ABE .75-1 ACY 1.5-1.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 Where is the 850 0 line? Silly weenie, didn't anyone ever teach you to not solely go off the 850 line and to look at soundings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted September 24, 2014 Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 So does that mean 20" for Philly? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 So does that mean 20" for Philly? given the fact we will have 20:1 ratios, more like 40". Probably lollipops of 50-60" once over the fall line Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted September 24, 2014 Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 I'll believe it when I see it. The ground is so dry and hard around here it won't soak in too quick, so I would expect some flooding due to run off if we do get that much. We need it, but not all at once. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted September 24, 2014 Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 given the fact we will have 20:1 ratios, more like 40". Probably lollipops of 50-60" once over the fall line bad high placement - upcoming winter is doomed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamPHLWx Posted September 24, 2014 Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 Gonna be sad when we can no longer make these trolling posts in jest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 12z models pretty much all lowered precip totals. Heaviest shore areas lowest poconos. But a general soaking still in order. I wonder if they are under estimating Atlantic moisture being thrown in combined with the flow from the high pressure. Seems more like the dc-NYC corridor should have some enhancement. But what do I know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 Based off 12z run NAM: PHL .5-.75 ABE .25-.5 ACY 1.75 GFS: PHL .75 ABE .25-.5 ACY .75-1 EURO: PHL .75-1 ABE .25-.5 ACY 3 GGEM: PHL .25-.5 ABE .25-.5 ACY .25 SREF: PHL 1.5-1.75 ABE .75-1 ACY 1.75-2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2014 Gonna be awesome when we can start making these posts I agree 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 25, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 .06 in gilly so far .34 at work in wayne Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted September 25, 2014 Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 .52 so far in Sellersville. Nice steady rain right now. We need about 4 or 5 days of this type of rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mshaffer526 Posted September 25, 2014 Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 Was slow to start, but turned into a nice rainmaker out here in eastern Lancaster Co. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 25, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 Was slow to start, but turned into a nice rainmaker out here in eastern Lancaster Co.You guys got under a nice deform band that just sat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 25, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 .32 in gilly. .85 in Wayne, pa and .52 in Drexel hill so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbelke Posted September 25, 2014 Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 .67 in Sellersville. Not expecting too much more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 25, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 .95 in Wayne. .37 in gilly so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 25, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 Storm totals. Pretty neat banding. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted September 25, 2014 Report Share Posted September 25, 2014 1.41" a good soaker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 26, 2014 Report Share Posted September 26, 2014 Nam 5" I95 corridor, Lehigh Valley fail; its going to be a long winter with its snow maps. Some 3"+ amounts did occur in Sussex County, DE. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qtown Snow Posted September 26, 2014 Report Share Posted September 26, 2014 .58", not 3" but lawn will take it. Tony you said it, long winter ahead with maps . Glad I'm not a full time met Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted September 26, 2014 Nam 5" I95 corridor, Lehigh Valley fail; its going to be a long winter with its snow maps. Some 3"+ amounts did occur in Sussex County, DE. Yea I was going to post about this. Nam did a pretty bad job. Models in general had a tough time with qpf with this storm. That high to the north must of been stronger. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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