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11/15-11/16 OBS : Pre-Turkey Week White washed down with Rain


Qtown Snow
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7 hours ago, susqushawn said:

You guys should have a nice 3-4 hr period of white smash up that way don't you think?

Yea, we'll see. Overnite low was "only" 29, and has held steady into this AM.

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3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

hrrr is looking pretty good, matches what nam was showing last night from city on nw. 

NAM is too fast, should already be snowing heavy, but I like the outcome of the NAM better than the HRRR right now. Seems more realistic.

 

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2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

hrrr is looking pretty good, matches what nam was showing last night from city on nw. 

RAP looks good also. If you look at the profiles they are right on the snow/sleet boundary. So we will see what happens. Some places may go back and forth,

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4 minutes ago, cbelke said:

NAM is too fast, should already be snowing heavy, but I like the outcome of the NAM better than the HRRR right now. Seems more realistic.

 

NAM doesn't start precipitating till after 15z which will be near noon. You can't go by the radar reflectivity because the leading edge is virga

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5 minutes ago, Chubbs said:

RAP looks good also. If you look at the profiles they are right on the snow/sleet boundary. So we will see what happens. Some places may go back and forth,

yea, it's very marginal in the city heck even outside the city. Going to come down to that fgen band. I could see the city getting a coating or so or 2" I may bump totals up a bit around 930. I want to see how things play out around baltimore because the hrrr and nam have them snowing. If they don't snow then you know mid level warmth is warmer than expected

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