snowlurker 1,065 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, Chubbs said: He and Mitchbwi may be the only ones to see flakes.😂 I'm going to ask my son to empty out a box of Hungry Jack potato flakes from my roof in order to stop the tears from running down my face. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Mitchnick 675 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 Hey, 18Z NAM is showing the 250mb winds backing to the NNE at 66 hrs. That trajectory was NOT on any recent prior runs. Just saying.... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=uv250&runtime=2018120618&fh=66 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Mitchnick 675 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 Man, that's close https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=temp_adv_fgen_700&runtime=2018120618&fh=78 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Mitchnick 675 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 Definitely came north this run. Confluence retreats quicker and 250mb winds back with a more northerly component. Too little, too late......tbd Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Chubbs 4,227 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 31 minutes ago, Mitchnick said: Definitely came north this run. Confluence retreats quicker and 250mb winds back with a more northerly component. Too little, too late......tbd You have a shot at something. Storm could edge north or expand some. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,274 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 30 minutes ago, Chubbs said: You have a shot at something. Storm could edge north or expand some. Yea Mitch def has a shot and @Debeaches us up here very slim chance Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Qtown Snow 5,481 Posted December 6, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 On 10/21/2018 at 9:11 AM, Qtown Snow said: Hi I am Andy. I deserve some award for recognizing this threat existed on October 21st. Nice. Why do I have a feeling a rain with shadow has something to do with this? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,572 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Qtown Snow said: Nice. Why do I have a feeling a rain with shadow has something to do with this? Who me?🏑 I think it was one of the other members.... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,274 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 I'm so over this storm, wish it would just get the flip over with and get out lol Quote Link to post Share on other sites
NJBrandon 75 Posted December 6, 2018 Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 Still holding out hope. Just need a 10 mile shift per run until start time. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Qtown Snow 5,481 Posted December 6, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 9 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: Who me?🏑 I think it was one of the other members.... But Tom would never. I lost my mod access to check edits so rain is my pick until further notice May the hula's be with us. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Qtown Snow 5,481 Posted December 6, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 6, 2018 14 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: I'm so over this storm, wish it would just get the flip over with and get out lol And news outlets will be flooded with snow footage / pics Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Qtown Snow 5,481 Posted December 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2018 HUGE 12z runs today Congrats south Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Feb 701 Posted December 7, 2018 Report Share Posted December 7, 2018 Our next threat will be right before Christmas. Love the look after our brief relaxation. And more threats will follow. This storm can kiss my you know what. Better times are coming. The Bus is coming for you Quote Link to post Share on other sites
phillysports11 54 Posted December 7, 2018 Report Share Posted December 7, 2018 Good, I really feel like the south will get slammed from this storm and than get nothing for the rest of the winter. We have allllll winter to go with a lot in our favor. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Mitchnick 675 Posted December 7, 2018 Report Share Posted December 7, 2018 Put this waver vapor pic in motion and you can clearly see the hammer coming down from Canada to crush our hopes. Brutal... http://weather.unisys.com/current-weather?source=1&plot=149&region=us 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
greg ralls 343 Posted December 7, 2018 Report Share Posted December 7, 2018 Guess the 12z runs didn't offer any dramatic reversals since there's nary a post about them, huh? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,274 Posted December 7, 2018 Report Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 hours ago, greg ralls said: Guess the 12z runs didn't offer any dramatic reversals since there's nary a post about them, huh? nope, wagons have been parked south for a while now Quote Link to post Share on other sites
phillysports11 54 Posted December 7, 2018 Report Share Posted December 7, 2018 This clown NYC weather alerts saying look at this shift to the north happening... Idk what he is on but I need some of that,ha 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tombo82685 14,274 Posted December 7, 2018 Report Share Posted December 7, 2018 34 minutes ago, phillysports11 said: This clown NYC weather alerts saying look at this shift to the north happening... Idk what he is on but I need some of that,ha Yea I don't see any north shifting that would raise any eyebrows for these parts 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,572 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 A bit of a northward creep has occurred. Even last night's Euro/UKMET edged northward with their precip. I don't know if it is win the battle (get pcpn into Mt Holly CWA, which might be or mixed with rain), but lose the war. I am curious as to how well the FV3 does with this because it has been pretty north with its precip shield all along. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
cbelke 1,991 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: A bit of a northward creep has occurred. Even last night's Euro/UKMET edged northward with their precip. I don't know if it is win the battle (get pcpn into Mt Holly CWA, which might be or mixed with rain), but lose the war. I am curious as to how well the FV3 does with this because it has been pretty north with its precip shield all along. Looks like Delaware and Cape May will be the winners. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Chubbs 4,227 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 56 minutes ago, Rainshadow said: A bit of a northward creep has occurred. Even last night's Euro/UKMET edged northward with their precip. I don't know if it is win the battle (get pcpn into Mt Holly CWA, which might be or mixed with rain), but lose the war. I am curious as to how well the FV3 does with this because it has been pretty north with its precip shield all along. We didn't keep this close enough for the last minute creep north. But at least we may avoid the heaviest virga. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,572 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 41 minutes ago, Chubbs said: We didn't keep this close enough for the last minute creep north. But at least we may avoid the heaviest virga. I still have leaves to rake. If the ground gets frozen enough, I may be able to remove some of them tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rainshadow6.6 10,572 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 UKMET (it does tend to be wet) brings .1" to DCA and snirga to ILG. Does it get into Mt. Holly CWA or doesn't it? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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