Rainshadow Posted August 5, 2018 Report Share Posted August 5, 2018 It should start today for most lower elevation spots. Dew Points should get slightly more tolerable this afternoon, not so much after that til the weakening cold frontal passage. WAG PHL 91F or 92F today for a high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 5, 2018 My daily rant of you outright with 2M surface temp predictions during summer GFS. Worst part about this non stop nonsense is that it has infected MOS or MOS is not smart enough to smell a rat (which it should). I was clicking on the EMC site and it looks like the farther east in the conus and/or the larger the city, the more egregious this warm bias is. Congrats Boston, I think you win this contest too. I don't know how dry Boston has been recently, but the recent wetness (OP EC is about 5F lower with max temps for PHL, but they tend to be about 2F too much in the cool direction) is given 0.0000003 second consideration by the GFS. The EC obviously has a better grasp of soil moisture content as it never bit on the let's have a bunch of 100s (heck 108 in DCA) party the GFS was throwing in early July and it was nearly as hot as the GFS in mid July when antecedent conditions became drier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 5, 2018 Have to wait til 8 pm to see if something higher snuck in, but looks like PHL high was 92F. We had the same high in Mount Laurel, our first August 90 degree max day and our first 90 degree max day since July 17th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 5, 2018 Report Share Posted August 5, 2018 90 IMBY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted August 6, 2018 Report Share Posted August 6, 2018 89F high Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mshaffer526 Posted August 6, 2018 Report Share Posted August 6, 2018 This humidity is unrelenting. I have a small handful of days off that I want to use as maintenance/stay at home days for the rest of the year; I feel like they are wasted if I'm just going to sit at home in the A/C all day. Trying to save them up for fall. We are headed to OBX Labor Day week. Just hoping the tropics behave while we are there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 6, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 6, 2018 BTW BOS max temp was 87F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 6, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 6, 2018 Going to WAG a high of 93F for PHL today. Going by the 11C+925mb 15z result from yesterday off the GFS PHL's high would be 92F again. We are in marginal risk on CFP Wednesday: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mweav067 Posted August 6, 2018 Report Share Posted August 6, 2018 I was downstairs around 12:45 PM and was kind of surprised to see it raining here in Green Hills, PA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 6, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 6, 2018 Time sensitive: Thunderstorm forming along intersecting outflow boundaries: https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=DIX&loop=yes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted August 6, 2018 Report Share Posted August 6, 2018 90F high Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel_kurtz Posted August 6, 2018 Report Share Posted August 6, 2018 93 / 72 today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 13 hours ago, Rainshadow said: Going to WAG a high of 93F for PHL today. Going by the 11C+925mb 15z result from yesterday off the GFS PHL's high would be 92F again. We are in marginal risk on CFP Wednesday: PHL high was 92F again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 7, 2018 Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 91 IMBY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 Welp 11C+15z 925MB would give PHL a hat trick 92F for a high today. Wednesday has to potential to be hotter because of thermal conditions, but not sure if clouds will get in the way. A pair of marginal risk days coming: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 As for the pair of 95(s) at PNE, I know there exists differences in opinion about the Gladstone qc methodology. Be it as it may, PHL bias has been neutral the past week, while PNE bias is nearly +2F with max temps. The bias is still there at PNE if one expands the data range to a month, while PHL has been averaging a cool bias of about 0.75 of a degree. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 Well, it could be worse. From Mt. Holly: 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted August 7, 2018 Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 84/77 here in WW crest. Headed to the beach with plenty of liquids to stay hydrated 😅🍺 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowx Posted August 7, 2018 Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 So far this week of course no 90 degree readings here in NW Chesco - I do see PHL likely to hit their 19th such day of the year and 3rd?? in a row. While here in Chesco no 90 degree days in over a month with the last one recorded during our one and only heat wave of the season on July 3rd. For the year so far only 4 days above 90 in these tundra areas! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 7, 2018 Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 Looks like triple 91's IMBY for the past 3 days. Some of the worst feeling 91's I can ever remember. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbs Posted August 7, 2018 Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 21 minutes ago, Parsley said: Looks like triple 91's IMBY for the past 3 days. Some of the worst feeling 91's I can ever remember. Low to mid-70 dews - yuck EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS PHILADELPHIA FAIR 91 72 53 S10 29.93F HX 98 NORTH PHILA FAIR 94 73 50 SW10 29.94F HX 103 DOYLESTOWN FAIR 89 73 59 VRB7 29.93F HX 97 QUAKERTOWN* MOSUNNY 90 75 62 VRB7G13 29.95F HX 100 PERKASIE* FAIR 90 73 58 S6 29.96F HX 98 POTTSTOWN FAIR 89 73 59 S8 29.96F HX 97 LANCASTER FAIR 90 74 59 S12 29.94F HX 99 COATESVILLE FAIR 88 75 66 VRB6 29.98F HX 97 READING PTSUNNY 91 74 57 SW10 29.92F HX 100 ALLENTOWN FAIR 92 72 51 SW13 29.93F HX 99 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irishbri74 Posted August 7, 2018 Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 86/78 here in WW Crest. Thanks baby Jesus for the seabreeze. It is gross out there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mweav067 Posted August 7, 2018 Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 Looks like storms are popping to the west. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 7, 2018 11 hours ago, Rainshadow said: Welp 11C+15z 925MB would give PHL a hat trick 92F for a high today. Wednesday has to potential to be hotter because of thermal conditions, but not sure if clouds will get in the way. A pair of marginal risk days coming: Looks like it is going to be a hat trick 92F for PHL and also a 92F for a max temp here in Mount Laurel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.