Feb Drought Busting Observations 7/21-7/25. A Plethora Of Tropical Downpours.

[Rainshadow]

[Rainshadow]

There is also a marginal risk for near/in the warm sector tornadoes along coastal NJ and DE today (the 21st).

[Rainshadow]

And there is a flash flood watch in effect:

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Northeastern Maryland, Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania,
  southern New Jersey and parts of central New Jersey.

* From 2:00 PM this afternoon through late tonight.

* Heavy rain is expected from this afternoon into this evening.
  Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are forecast. Much of the rain
  is expected to fall over a period of only a few hours.

* Excessive rainfall in a short amount of time can lead to flash
  flooding. Urban areas, locations along small streams and creeks,
  and areas of poor drainage are most vulnerable to flash
  flooding.

[mshaffer526]

Lancaster County "jackpot".  It is a beautiful morning outside, someone waking up without knowing the forecast would never suspect what was coming.

[cbelke]

5 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

2 plus inches already this week and going to add another 2 or 3 from the looks of it. Wish we had sandy soil like you have in NJ. 

[cbelke]

6 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

There is also a marginal risk for near/in the warm sector tornadoes along coastal NJ and DE today (the 21st).

Overall, not much severe stuff forecasted, just heavy rains. Correct? Other than what you mentioned.

[Rainshadow]

1 minute ago, cbelke said:

2 plus inches already this week and going to add another 2 or 3 from the looks of it. Wish we had sandy soil like you have in NJ. 

Our soil in Mount Laurel is primarily clay.  Golf courses here react the same way as they do in Bucks County.  It is funny Kresson in Voorhees is clay on the front 9 and sand on the back 9. 

[cbelke]

2 minutes ago, Rainshadow said:

Our soil in Mount Laurel is primarily clay.  Golf courses here react the same way as they do in Bucks County.  It is funny Kresson in Voorhees is clay on the front 9 and sand on the back 9. 

Kresson is a "unique" course for sure. 

I'm supposed to, I say supposed to, play golf tomorrow at 11 AM at Berkleigh Golf course in Kutztown, PA. I'm hoping it won't be a wash out for tomorrow. It may not rain while playing, but the soggy conditions may not be suitable to play.

[Rainshadow]

10 minutes ago, cbelke said:

Kresson is a "unique" course for sure. 

I'm supposed to, I say supposed to, play golf tomorrow at 11 AM at Berkleigh Golf course in Kutztown, PA. I'm hoping it won't be a wash out for tomorrow. It may not rain while playing, but the soggy conditions may not be suitable to play.

Not a good stretch for planning outdoor activities that require a rain free period. We have an outing on Monday morning. That doesn't look great either.

[JimCaruso]

Much nicer morning than I expected. I knew it probably wouldn’t be raining when I woke up at 6am, but I thought it would already be cloudy and more humid. Instead, it was another glorious, sunny, dry, September-like morning.

This may sound crazy but I kind of like rainy weekends. I always feel like I should be doing something more interesting on summer weekends, but I don’t play golf, I don’t have a beach house, I usually don’t feel like driving to the shore for day trips and putting up with crowds, I don’t feel like rushing out of the house early in the morning for much of anything, and later in the day it gets too hot, so I end up staying around the house feeling like I should be out doing something more exciting with the kids. A rainy day gives me “permission” to stay home without feeling like I’m missing anything. I don’t like not being able to go out on the deck and barbecue, but I do enjoy sitting out on our covered porch while it is raining.

Unfortunately, I do need to go back and forth to Philadelphia for an event this evening / tonight, so I’m not looking forward to doing that in pouring rain and the resulting traffic...

[tombo82685]

looks like best chance of lower chance of rain are tuesday/wednesday from city on east as we get flex from the WAR that should push most of the activity west. 

[tombo82685]

thats some crazy PWAT values for later tonight over the area. 

[tombo82685]

DC area looks to take it on the chin. Could def see some sort of frontogeneises type band sitting west of the low track which would be in the Lns-bwi-dc-hgr-ipt zone with over 3” of rain Think most of use see average .75-1.5 totals with iso totals above 2”

[Parsley]

Props to the NAM for the farther(est) inland track and/or placement of rain?

[tombo82685]

1 minute ago, Parsley said:

Props to the NAM for the farther(est) inland track and/or placement of rain?

It’s had a decent summer honestly

[Parsley]

1 minute ago, tombo82685 said:

It’s had a decent summer honestly

Always have to look at both sides of the spectrum with threats so can’t say I’m 100% surprised it ended up breaking this way. As others have said, atleast one day of rain will be appreciated by many. 

[Feb]

Liquid sunshine. Just what the dr, my lawn and garden needed. 

[cbelke]

Just a few drops here and there. That will change.

[Chubbs]

The soaking rains have arrived - 68

[cbelke]

No rain yet, but it is a bit breezy. 

[Feb]

About a quarter of an inch so far which is almost the total for the first 20 days of July 

[tombo82685]

ukmet over next 72hrs. Really lashes the area Monday. Alot of the models seem to want to back some sort of convergence band that starts east and pushes west. 

[JimCaruso]

Rain just started about 15 minutes ago here in Newtown

[cbelke]

Getting some wind blown showers. Nothing heavy.

 

Of course, right about the time we start getting ready to go out for dinner.

[Feb]

Closing in on .50”. No downpours just a nice steady rain. With the ground as dry and parched as it is, downpours would just run off. This is perfect