12z/15th GFS HAS Measurable Pcpn in 41 of 43 Three Hour Segments Starting From Initialization. No Surprise On Verified Outcome.

[Rainshadow]

Ok I get it, it is going to be wet.  No model is dry.  But this is as useful as an ice tray on Pluto.

[tombo82685]

I can't get 3hr incr on euro, only 6 but 12z run was 126hrs straight

[Rainshadow]

45 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

I can't get 3hr incr on euro, only 6 but 12z run was 126hrs straight

Can't beat the GFS: 114 straight hours, no doubt, no how, it will never ever stop raining.  Too bad it already got the first three hour period wrong.

[Rainshadow]

14 hours ago, Rainshadow said:

Ok I get it, it is going to be wet.  No model is dry.  But this is as useful as an ice tray on Pluto.

Thru 9z PHL has had 4 dry three hour segments in the first 21 hours of this run.  That is already one more segment than the GFS predicted thru 132 hours.

[Rainshadow]

On 5/15/2018 at 4:01 PM, Rainshadow said:

Ok I get it, it is going to be wet.  No model is dry.  But this is as useful as an ice tray on Pluto.

Verification.  Black lines are three hour periods with no measurable rain.

[Rainshadow]

On 5/15/2018 at 9:22 PM, Rainshadow said:

Can't beat the GFS: 114 straight hours, no doubt, no how, it will never ever stop raining.  Too bad it already got the first three hour period wrong.

Longest continuous measurable during this stretch was 24 hours, only off by 90 hours.  Congrats, here is your participation trophy.